NYSE$CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chipotle's Q2 2023 earnings were announced with record quarterly sales and earnings per share, driven by a 7.4% increase in comparable restaurant sales and margin expansion.

Chipotle reported a strong second quarter with a 13.6% increase in total revenue to $2.5 billion, driven by a 7.4% increase in comparable restaurant sales. Diluted earnings per share increased by 33.2% to $12.32, and the company opened 47 new restaurants.

  • Total revenue increased 13.6% to $2.5 billion.
  • Comparable restaurant sales increased 7.4%.
  • In-restaurant sales increased 15.8%, while digital sales represented 38.0% of food and beverage revenue.
  • Diluted earnings per share was $12.32, a 33.2% increase from $9.25.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.51B

Previous: $2.21B+13.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $0.19+31.6%
Comparable sales change

7.4%

Previous: 10.1%-26.7%
Net restaurant openings

47

Previous: 42+11.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$258M

Previous: -$196M-31.1%
Free Cash Flow

$84.2M

Previous: $63.4M+32.7%
Net Income

$342M

Previous: $260M+31.5%
Operating Income

$432M

Previous: $338M+27.9%
Gross Profit

$1.16B

Previous: $989M+17.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$505M

Previous: $521M-3.1%
Total Assets

$7.55B

Previous: $6.55B+15.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$30.7M

Previous: $28.6M+7.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Chipotle · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.51B

Q2 2023+13.6%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chipotle · $17.3M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Delivery service
    $17.3M-15.8%

Forward guidance

For 2023, management is anticipating the following: Third quarter comparable restaurant sales growth in the low to mid-single digit range; Full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the mid to high-single digit range; 255 to 285 new restaurant openings (including 10 to 15 relocations to add a Chipotlane), which assumes utility, construction, permit and material supply delays do not worsen; An estimated underlying effective full year tax rate between 25% and 27% before discrete items

Tailwinds

  • Third quarter comparable restaurant sales growth in the low to mid-single digit range
  • Full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the mid to high-single digit range
  • 255 to 285 new restaurant openings
  • Adding 10 to 15 Chipotlanes
  • An estimated underlying effective full year tax rate between 25% and 27% before discrete items

Headwinds

  • Utility delays
  • Construction delays
  • Permit delays
  • Material supply delays
  • Increasing wage inflation and the competitive labor market, which impacts our ability to attract and retain qualified employees and has resulted in occasional staffing shortages

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+26.9%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-2.1%-3.3%
Q4 2025+1.9%+1.1%-9.7%
Q3 2025-9.7%-20.2%-13.2%
Q2 2025-13.3%-15.9%-17.3%
Q1 2025+1.6%+3.9%+3.8%
Q4 2024-2.6%-2.1%-14.9%
Q3 2024-8.0%-3.3%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.3%-3.0%+2.2%
Q1 2024+6.8%+10.1%+8.1%
Q4 2023+7.9%+6.8%+8.9%
Q3 2023+2.5%+5.4%+20.5%
Q2 2023-10.0%-6.2%-10.3%
Q1 2023+11.9%+15.1%+14.5%
Q4 2022-3.7%-6.8%-8.8%
Q3 2022-4.5%-2.6%-2.4%
Q2 2022+13.6%+17.7%+25.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-4.0%-11.5%
Q4 2021+10.7%+7.5%+1.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%-3.7%
Q2 2021+13.2%+18.0%+20.6%
Q1 2021-3.4%-4.0%-13.2%
Q4 2020-0.6%-0.1%-10.5%
Q3 2020-3.6%-2.7%-4.1%
Q2 2020-3.6%-1.7%+7.7%
Q1 2020+9.2%+9.1%+27.0%
Q4 2019-1.6%-0.4%-16.1%
Q3 2019-7.5%-7.5%-9.2%
Q2 2019+4.8%+5.0%+10.3%
Q1 2019-3.5%-3.5%-5.7%
Q4 2018+11.3%+14.6%+17.0%
Q3 2018+6.2%+11.8%+14.1%
Q2 2018+4.7%-4.0%+15.3%
Q1 2018+26.9%+27.1%+28.8%
Q4 2017-9.5%-14.9%+7.2%
Q3 2017-13.6%-13.8%-12.2%
Q2 2017+0.1%+3.1%-11.2%
Q1 2017+3.0%+1.2%+2.7%
Q4 2016-3.8%-5.1%-1.0%
Q3 2016-11.0%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2016+5.5%+2.7%-7.4%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-7.4%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014+11.4%
Q1 2014-8.3%
Q4 2013+13.9%
Q3 2013+16.3%
Q2 2013+8.8%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q4 2012+4.0%
Q3 2012-16.2%
Q2 2012-20.4%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q3 2011+11.2%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q1 2010-5.4%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2008-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+14.5%
Q3 2009+14.5%
Q2 2009-0.3%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q4 2009-0.3%

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