NYSE$CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chipotle's Q2 2021 results highlighted strong brand and growing momentum.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. reported a 38.7% increase in revenue to $1.9 billion, driven by a 31.2% increase in comparable restaurant sales. Diluted earnings per share was $6.60, and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $7.46. The company opened 56 new restaurants and closed five, bringing the total restaurant count to 2,853.

  • Revenue increased 38.7% to $1.9 billion.
  • Comparable restaurant sales increased 31.2%.
  • Digital sales grew 10.5% and accounted for 48.5% of sales.
  • Operating margin was 13.0%, an increase from -0.4%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.89B

Previous: $1.36B+38.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.15

Previous: $0.01+1400.0%
Comparable sales change

31.2%

Previous: -9.8%+418.4%
Net restaurant openings

51

No prior period
Total restaurants

2.9K

Previous: 2.7K+6.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$212M

Previous: -$165M-28.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$24.1M

Previous: -$157M+84.6%
Net Income

$188M

Previous: $8.18M+2199.4%
Operating Income

$246M

Previous: -$4.94M+5071.1%
Gross Profit

$854M

Previous: $525M+62.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$668M

Previous: $606M+10.3%
Total Assets

$6.32B

Previous: $5.37B+17.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$47.3M

Previous: $23.4M+102.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Chipotle · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.89B

Q2 2021+38.7%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chipotle · $23.2M total across 1 segment · Q2 2021

  • Delivery service
    $23.2M

Forward guidance

For Q3, the company expects comparable restaurant sales to be in the low to mid double-digits range and anticipates at or slightly above 200 new restaurant openings. An estimated effective full year tax rate between 25% and 27% is expected.

Tailwinds

  • Comparable restaurant sales growth in the low to mid double-digits range
  • At or slightly above 200 new restaurant openings
  • Strong restaurant level economics
  • Significant restaurant growth
  • Optimize earnings power for many years to come

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty still exists with the potential impact of COVID-19
  • Pace of the economic recovery
  • Increasing ingredient and other operating costs
  • The increasingly competitive labor market
  • Decreased overall consumer spending

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+26.9%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-2.1%-3.3%
Q4 2025+1.9%+1.1%-9.7%
Q3 2025-9.7%-20.2%-13.2%
Q2 2025-13.3%-15.9%-17.3%
Q1 2025+1.6%+3.9%+3.8%
Q4 2024-2.6%-2.1%-14.9%
Q3 2024-8.0%-3.3%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.3%-3.0%+2.2%
Q1 2024+6.8%+10.1%+8.1%
Q4 2023+7.9%+6.8%+8.9%
Q3 2023+2.5%+5.4%+20.5%
Q2 2023-10.0%-6.2%-10.3%
Q1 2023+11.9%+15.1%+14.5%
Q4 2022-3.7%-6.8%-8.8%
Q3 2022-4.5%-2.6%-2.4%
Q2 2022+13.6%+17.7%+25.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-4.0%-11.5%
Q4 2021+10.7%+7.5%+1.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%-3.7%
Q2 2021+13.2%+18.0%+20.6%
Q1 2021-3.4%-4.0%-13.2%
Q4 2020-0.6%-0.1%-10.5%
Q3 2020-3.6%-2.7%-4.1%
Q2 2020-3.6%-1.7%+7.7%
Q1 2020+9.2%+9.1%+27.0%
Q4 2019-1.6%-0.4%-16.1%
Q3 2019-7.5%-7.5%-9.2%
Q2 2019+4.8%+5.0%+10.3%
Q1 2019-3.5%-3.5%-5.7%
Q4 2018+11.3%+14.6%+17.0%
Q3 2018+6.2%+11.8%+14.1%
Q2 2018+4.7%-4.0%+15.3%
Q1 2018+26.9%+27.1%+28.8%
Q4 2017-9.5%-14.9%+7.2%
Q3 2017-13.6%-13.8%-12.2%
Q2 2017+0.1%+3.1%-11.2%
Q1 2017+3.0%+1.2%+2.7%
Q4 2016-3.8%-5.1%-1.0%
Q3 2016-11.0%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2016+5.5%+2.7%-7.4%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-7.4%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014+11.4%
Q1 2014-8.3%
Q4 2013+13.9%
Q3 2013+16.3%
Q2 2013+8.8%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q4 2012+4.0%
Q3 2012-16.2%
Q2 2012-20.4%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q3 2011+11.2%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q1 2010-5.4%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2008-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+14.5%
Q3 2009+14.5%
Q2 2009-0.3%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q4 2009-0.3%

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