NYSE$CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chipotle's first quarter results were announced, featuring a revenue increase of 23.4% and a comparable restaurant sales increase of 17.2%.

Chipotle reported strong first quarter results with a 23.4% increase in revenue to $1.7 billion and a 17.2% increase in comparable restaurant sales. Digital sales grew significantly, and restaurant level operating margin expanded.

  • Revenue increased by 23.4% to $1.7 billion.
  • Comparable restaurant sales increased by 17.2%.
  • Digital sales grew 133.9% and accounted for 50.1% of sales.
  • Restaurant level operating margin was 22.3%, an increase of 470 basis points.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.74B

Previous: $1.41B+23.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $0.06+83.3%
Comparable sales change

17.2%

Previous: 3.3%+421.2%
Net restaurant openings

35

Previous: 17+105.9%
Total restaurants

2.8K

Previous: 2.6K+6.3%
Average restaurant sales

$2.31M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$86.6M

Previous: -$77.7M-11.5%
Free Cash Flow

$40.5M

Previous: -$1.27M+3300.2%
Net Income

$127M

Previous: $76.4M+66.4%
Operating Income

$161M

Previous: $71.1M+127.0%
Gross Profit

$785M

Previous: $555M+41.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$695M

Previous: $500M+38.9%
Total Assets

$6.15B

Previous: $5.21B+18.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$55.4M

Previous: $17.4M+218.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Chipotle · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.74B

Q1 2021+23.4%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chipotle · $25.6M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Delivery service
    $25.6M

Forward guidance

Chipotle is not providing fiscal 2021 comparable restaurant sales growth guidance due to the on-going uncertainty surrounding the future impact of COVID-19. They anticipate around 200 new restaurant openings and an estimated effective full year tax rate between 25% and 27%.

Tailwinds

  • New restaurant openings are expected to be around 200.
  • Company maintains a strong financial position with nearly $1.2 billion in cash, investments and restricted cash, and no debt.
  • Access to a recently refinanced $500 million untapped credit facility.
  • Strategic investments in people, business, and communities will be made.
  • New menu items and effective marketing contributed to revenue growth.

Headwinds

  • There is on-going uncertainty surrounding the future impact of COVID-19.
  • Comparable restaurant sales growth guidance is not provided for fiscal year 2021.
  • Assumes minimal construction and permit delays related to COVID-19 for new restaurant openings.
  • Increased delivery expense and wage inflation.
  • Elevated excess tax benefits related to option exercises and equity vesting.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+26.9%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-2.1%-3.3%
Q4 2025+1.9%+1.1%-9.7%
Q3 2025-9.7%-20.2%-13.2%
Q2 2025-13.3%-15.9%-17.3%
Q1 2025+1.6%+3.9%+3.8%
Q4 2024-2.6%-2.1%-14.9%
Q3 2024-8.0%-3.3%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.3%-3.0%+2.2%
Q1 2024+6.8%+10.1%+8.1%
Q4 2023+7.9%+6.8%+8.9%
Q3 2023+2.5%+5.4%+20.5%
Q2 2023-10.0%-6.2%-10.3%
Q1 2023+11.9%+15.1%+14.5%
Q4 2022-3.7%-6.8%-8.8%
Q3 2022-4.5%-2.6%-2.4%
Q2 2022+13.6%+17.7%+25.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-4.0%-11.5%
Q4 2021+10.7%+7.5%+1.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%-3.7%
Q2 2021+13.2%+18.0%+20.6%
Q1 2021-3.4%-4.0%-13.2%
Q4 2020-0.6%-0.1%-10.5%
Q3 2020-3.6%-2.7%-4.1%
Q2 2020-3.6%-1.7%+7.7%
Q1 2020+9.2%+9.1%+27.0%
Q4 2019-1.6%-0.4%-16.1%
Q3 2019-7.5%-7.5%-9.2%
Q2 2019+4.8%+5.0%+10.3%
Q1 2019-3.5%-3.5%-5.7%
Q4 2018+11.3%+14.6%+17.0%
Q3 2018+6.2%+11.8%+14.1%
Q2 2018+4.7%-4.0%+15.3%
Q1 2018+26.9%+27.1%+28.8%
Q4 2017-9.5%-14.9%+7.2%
Q3 2017-13.6%-13.8%-12.2%
Q2 2017+0.1%+3.1%-11.2%
Q1 2017+3.0%+1.2%+2.7%
Q4 2016-3.8%-5.1%-1.0%
Q3 2016-11.0%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2016+5.5%+2.7%-7.4%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-7.4%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014+11.4%
Q1 2014-8.3%
Q4 2013+13.9%
Q3 2013+16.3%
Q2 2013+8.8%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q4 2012+4.0%
Q3 2012-16.2%
Q2 2012-20.4%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q3 2011+11.2%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q1 2010-5.4%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2008-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+14.5%
Q3 2009+14.5%
Q2 2009-0.3%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q4 2009-0.3%

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