NYSE$CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chipotle's Q3 2024 earnings showcased strong performance, driven by comparable sales growth and strategic restaurant openings.

Chipotle announced strong Q3 2024 results, with a 13.0% increase in total revenue to $2.8 billion and a 6.0% increase in comparable restaurant sales. Diluted earnings per share increased by 21.7% to $0.28. The company opened 86 new company-operated restaurants, including 73 Chipotlanes.

  • Total revenue increased by 13.0% to $2.8 billion.
  • Comparable restaurant sales increased by 6.0%.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased by 21.7% to $0.28.
  • Opened 86 new company-operated restaurants, including 73 Chipotlanes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.79B

Previous: $2.47B+13.0%
EPS

$0.28

Previous: $0.23+21.7%
Comparable sales change

6.0%

Previous: 5.0%+20.0%
Restaurant operating margin

25.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$421M

Previous: -$389M-8.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$33.3M

Previous: -$75.6M+55.9%
Net Income

$387M

Previous: $313M+23.7%
Operating Income

$473M

Previous: $395M+19.8%
Gross Profit

$1.24B

Previous: $1.12B+10.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.66M

Previous: $35.8M-87.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Chipotle · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.79B

Q3 2024+13%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chipotle · $15.9M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Delivery service
    $15.9M-10.8%

Forward guidance

Chipotle provided guidance for 2024, anticipating full-year comparable restaurant sales growth in the mid-to-high single-digit range and between 285 and 315 new company-operated restaurant openings with over 80% having a Chipotlane.

Tailwinds

  • Full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the mid to high-single digit range
  • 285 to 315 new company-operated restaurant openings
  • Over 80% of new restaurants having a Chipotlane
  • Estimated underlying effective full year tax rate between 24% and 26% before discrete items
  • 315 to 345 new company-operated restaurant openings with over 80% having a Chipotlane for 2025

Headwinds

  • Increasing wage inflation, including as a result of state or local regulations mandating higher minimum wages, and the competitive labor market
  • The impact of any union organizing efforts and our responses to such efforts
  • Increasing supply costs
  • Risks of food safety incidents and food-borne illnesses
  • Risks associated with our reliance on certain information technology systems and potential material failures, interruptions or outages

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+26.9%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-2.1%-3.3%
Q4 2025+1.9%+1.1%-9.7%
Q3 2025-9.7%-20.2%-13.2%
Q2 2025-13.3%-15.9%-17.3%
Q1 2025+1.6%+3.9%+3.8%
Q4 2024-2.6%-2.1%-14.9%
Q3 2024-8.0%-3.3%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.3%-3.0%+2.2%
Q1 2024+6.8%+10.1%+8.1%
Q4 2023+7.9%+6.8%+8.9%
Q3 2023+2.5%+5.4%+20.5%
Q2 2023-10.0%-6.2%-10.3%
Q1 2023+11.9%+15.1%+14.5%
Q4 2022-3.7%-6.8%-8.8%
Q3 2022-4.5%-2.6%-2.4%
Q2 2022+13.6%+17.7%+25.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-4.0%-11.5%
Q4 2021+10.7%+7.5%+1.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%-3.7%
Q2 2021+13.2%+18.0%+20.6%
Q1 2021-3.4%-4.0%-13.2%
Q4 2020-0.6%-0.1%-10.5%
Q3 2020-3.6%-2.7%-4.1%
Q2 2020-3.6%-1.7%+7.7%
Q1 2020+9.2%+9.1%+27.0%
Q4 2019-1.6%-0.4%-16.1%
Q3 2019-7.5%-7.5%-9.2%
Q2 2019+4.8%+5.0%+10.3%
Q1 2019-3.5%-3.5%-5.7%
Q4 2018+11.3%+14.6%+17.0%
Q3 2018+6.2%+11.8%+14.1%
Q2 2018+4.7%-4.0%+15.3%
Q1 2018+26.9%+27.1%+28.8%
Q4 2017-9.5%-14.9%+7.2%
Q3 2017-13.6%-13.8%-12.2%
Q2 2017+0.1%+3.1%-11.2%
Q1 2017+3.0%+1.2%+2.7%
Q4 2016-3.8%-5.1%-1.0%
Q3 2016-11.0%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2016+5.5%+2.7%-7.4%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-7.4%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014+11.4%
Q1 2014-8.3%
Q4 2013+13.9%
Q3 2013+16.3%
Q2 2013+8.8%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q4 2012+4.0%
Q3 2012-16.2%
Q2 2012-20.4%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q3 2011+11.2%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q1 2010-5.4%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2008-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+14.5%
Q3 2009+14.5%
Q2 2009-0.3%
Q2 2010-0.3%
Q4 2009-0.3%

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