NYSE$CCL

Carnival Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record fourth quarter revenues with continued strong bookings and earnings momentum.

Carnival Corporation & plc reported record fourth-quarter revenues of $5.4 billion and a net loss of $48 million. The company's booking volumes for the two weeks around Black Friday and Cyber Monday reached an all-time high, and total customer deposits hit a fourth-quarter record of $6.4 billion.

  • Record fourth quarter revenues of $5.4 billion.
  • Booking volumes for the two weeks around Black Friday and Cyber Monday reached an all-time high for that period.
  • Total customer deposits reached a fourth quarter record of $6.4 billion, surpassing the previous fourth quarter record by 25 percent.
  • Occupancy in the fourth quarter of 2023 was over 101 percent, in line with the company’s expectations and historical levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.4B

Previous: $3.84B+40.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.07

Previous: -$0.85+91.8%
Occupancy Percentage

101.0%

Previous: 85.0%+18.8%
Capital Expenditures

$675M

Previous: $1.18B-42.8%
Free Cash Flow

$247M

Previous: -$1.3B+119.0%
Net Income

-$48M

Previous: -$1.6B+97.0%
Operating Income

$384M

Previous: -$1.14B+133.8%
Gross Profit

$1.77B

Previous: $174M+915.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.42B

Previous: $4.03B-40.1%
Total Assets

$49.1B

Previous: $51.7B-5.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$10M

Previous: $22M-54.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.4B

Q4 2023+40.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $5.6 billion, over 30 percent growth compared to 2023 and Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 8.5 percent compared to 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $5.6 billion, over 30 percent growth compared to 2023
  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 8.5 percent compared to 2023
  • Full year occupancy returning to historical levels
  • Nicely higher net per diems (in constant currency) reflecting continued strength in pricing and onboard spending
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 4.5 percent compared to 2023

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+29.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%
Q4 2025+9.7%+10.3%+2.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-6.7%-9.0%
Q2 2025-1.2%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2025-1.2%-1.3%-15.1%
Q4 2024+2.2%+2.4%+2.7%
Q3 2024-2.8%-2.8%+19.5%
Q2 2024+12.1%+14.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-4.5%-11.5%
Q4 2023+4.8%+3.0%-4.1%
Q3 2023-5.5%-9.3%-22.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+19.2%+11.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%+10.0%-5.1%
Q4 2022-2.7%-3.6%+29.3%
Q3 2022-25.2%-18.9%-2.4%
Q2 2022+9.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-3.0%+3.0%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.0%+16.1%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-0.1%-8.4%-22.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-3.0%-6.4%
Q4 2020-1.2%-2.9%+32.5%
Q3 2020-1.9%-12.3%-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.8%+19.9%-2.5%
Q1 2020+29.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Q4 2019+9.9%+9.2%+11.3%
Q3 2019-9.3%-11.6%-7.3%
Q2 2019-11.8%-14.0%-14.7%
Q1 2019-10.6%-10.5%-5.0%
Q4 2018-13.0%-16.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-5.8%-19.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-9.8%-9.1%
Q1 2018-4.0%-2.0%-1.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.4%+3.6%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.7%+4.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+3.6%
Q4 2016+3.4%+3.3%+4.2%
Q3 2016+2.3%+3.3%-0.2%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.8%+6.6%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-12.6%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-5.1%
Q4 2012-5.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2007-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q4 2008-2.5%

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