NYSE$CCL
Carnival Corp · Q3 2022 earnings
Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Carnival's business showed a positive trajectory with adjusted EBITDA over $300 million, reaching nearly 90% occupancy in August, and booking volumes exceeding 2019 levels after relaxing protocols.
Carnival Corporation & plc reported a U.S. GAAP net loss of $770 million and an adjusted net loss of $688 million for Q3 2022. Adjusted EBITDA turned positive for the first time since resuming guest cruise operations, exceeding $300 million. Revenue increased by nearly 80% compared to Q2 2022, and occupancy increased by 15 percentage points from the prior quarter.
- U.S. GAAP net loss of $770 million and adjusted net loss of $688 million for the third quarter of 2022.
- Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2022 was over $300 million, turning positive for the first time since the resumption of guest cruise operations.
- Revenue increased by nearly 80% in the third quarter of 2022 compared to second quarter 2022.
- Occupancy in the third quarter of 2022 increased 15 percentage points from the prior quarter.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly
$4.31B
Revenue by segment
Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022
- Passenger Ticket$2.6B—60.3%
- Onboard and Other$1.71B—39.7%
Forward guidance
The company expects a net loss and breakeven to slightly negative adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter ending November 30, 2022. They anticipate positive adjusted EBITDA for the second half of 2022 and expect improvement in adjusted EBITDA and occupancy, with occupancy returning to historical levels during 2023.
Tailwinds
- Positive adjusted EBITDA expected for the second half of 2022.
- Improvement in adjusted EBITDA expected on a year-over-year basis.
- Occupancy expected to return to historical levels during 2023.
- Booking volumes for all future sailings are considerably higher than strong 2019 levels since announcing relaxed protocols.
- Strategic fleet changes and portfolio optimization efforts expected to provide strong tailwinds.
Headwinds
- Net loss expected for the fourth quarter ending November 30, 2022.
- Breakeven to slightly negative adjusted EBITDA expected for the fourth quarter ending November 30, 2022.
- Cumulative advance bookings for the fourth quarter of 2022 are below the historical range and at lower prices.
- Costa Cruises continues to evaluate deployment options and fleet optimization alternatives given its significant presence in Asia, particularly China, which remains closed to cruising.
- Year-to-date adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD during 2022 has benefited from the sale of smaller-less efficient ships and the delivery of larger-more efficient ships, this benefit is offset by a portion of its fleet being in pause status for part of the year, restart related expenses, an increase in the number of dry dock days, the cost of maintaining enhanced health and safety protocols, inflation and supply chain disruptions.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.2%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
32 / 72 earnings
Positive
+29.0%
Q1 2020
Best reaction
-25.2%
Q3 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.8% | -3.1% | — | |
| Q4 2025 | +9.7% | +10.3% | +2.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | -4.0% | -6.7% | -9.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2% | +0.8% | +3.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2% | -1.3% | -15.1% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.2% | +2.4% | +2.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -2.8% | -2.8% | +19.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | +12.1% | +14.2% | +4.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | -4.1% | -4.5% | -11.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | +4.8% | +3.0% | -4.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | -5.5% | -9.3% | -22.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.6% | +19.2% | +11.7% | |
| Q1 2023 | +1.1% | +10.0% | -5.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -2.7% | -3.6% | +29.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -25.2% | -18.9% | -2.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | +9.3% | -8.1% | -4.0% | |
| Q1 2022 | -3.4% | -3.0% | +3.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | +12.4% | +16.0% | +16.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | +6.8% | +3.4% | -9.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | -0.1% | -8.4% | -22.0% | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.1% | -3.0% | -6.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.2% | -2.9% | +32.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | -1.9% | -12.3% | -13.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | +4.8% | +19.9% | -2.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | +29.0% | +47.1% | +35.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +9.9% | +9.2% | +11.3% | |
| Q3 2019 | -9.3% | -11.6% | -7.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | -11.8% | -14.0% | -14.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -10.6% | -10.5% | -5.0% | |
| Q4 2018 | -13.0% | -16.0% | -0.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -4.8% | -5.8% | -19.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | -5.9% | -9.8% | -9.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | -4.0% | -2.0% | -1.8% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.7% | -0.4% | +3.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +0.3% | +1.7% | +4.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | +0.0% | -2.1% | +0.9% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.2% | +0.1% | +3.6% | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.4% | +3.3% | +4.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | +2.3% | +3.3% | -0.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.9% | +2.8% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | +6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +6.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +7.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -5.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -12.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -5.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -7.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -2.5% | — | — |
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