NYSE$CCL

Carnival Corp · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record second quarter revenues, operating income and booking levels, outperformed second quarter guidance and raised full year 2024 guidance.

Carnival Corporation & plc announced record second quarter revenues of $5.8 billion and operating income of $560 million. The company raised full year 2024 net yield and adjusted net income guidance due to continued strong demand.

  • Second quarter net income improved by nearly $500 million compared to 2023 and adjusted net income outperformed March guidance by nearly $170 million.
  • Record second quarter operating income of $560 million, nearly five times 2023 levels, on record second quarter revenues of $5.8 billion.
  • Raised full year 2024 net yield guidance (in constant currency) to approximately 10.25 percent on continued strong demand and raised full year adjusted net income guidance by approximately $275 million.
  • Total customer deposits reached an all-time high of $8.3 billion, surpassing the previous record by $1.1 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.78B

Previous: $4.91B+17.7%
EPS

$0.07

Previous: -$0.31+122.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.46B

Previous: -$1.77B-95.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.37B

Previous: -$2.18B-54.4%
Net Income

$92M

Previous: -$407M+122.6%
Operating Income

$560M

Previous: $120M+366.7%
Gross Profit

$1.98B

Previous: $1.45B+36.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.65B

Previous: $4.47B-63.2%
Total Assets

$49.6B

Previous: $51.9B-4.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$19M

Previous: $22M-13.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.78B

Q2 2024+17.7%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, the company expects net yields to be up approximately 10.25 percent compared to 2023, and adjusted net income of approximately $1.55 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 10.25 percent compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) approximately 0.5 percentage points better than March guidance.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $5.83 billion, up nearly 40 percent compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted net income of approximately $1.55 billion, better than March guidance by approximately $275 million.
  • Adjusted return on invested capital (“ROIC”) of approximately 10 percent.

Headwinds

  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 8.0 percent compared to 2023 levels for Q3 2024.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 4.5 percent compared to the third quarter of 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.66 billion, up 20 percent compared to the third quarter of 2023.
  • Adjusted net income of approximately $1.58 billion, up 35 percent compared to the third quarter of 2023.
  • Contracted newbuild capital expenditures are $0.1 billion and non-newbuild capital expenditures are $1.0 billion for the remainder of 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+29.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%
Q4 2025+9.7%+10.3%+2.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-6.7%-9.0%
Q2 2025-1.2%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2025-1.2%-1.3%-15.1%
Q4 2024+2.2%+2.4%+2.7%
Q3 2024-2.8%-2.8%+19.5%
Q2 2024+12.1%+14.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-4.5%-11.5%
Q4 2023+4.8%+3.0%-4.1%
Q3 2023-5.5%-9.3%-22.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+19.2%+11.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%+10.0%-5.1%
Q4 2022-2.7%-3.6%+29.3%
Q3 2022-25.2%-18.9%-2.4%
Q2 2022+9.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-3.0%+3.0%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.0%+16.1%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-0.1%-8.4%-22.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-3.0%-6.4%
Q4 2020-1.2%-2.9%+32.5%
Q3 2020-1.9%-12.3%-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.8%+19.9%-2.5%
Q1 2020+29.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Q4 2019+9.9%+9.2%+11.3%
Q3 2019-9.3%-11.6%-7.3%
Q2 2019-11.8%-14.0%-14.7%
Q1 2019-10.6%-10.5%-5.0%
Q4 2018-13.0%-16.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-5.8%-19.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-9.8%-9.1%
Q1 2018-4.0%-2.0%-1.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.4%+3.6%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.7%+4.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+3.6%
Q4 2016+3.4%+3.3%+4.2%
Q3 2016+2.3%+3.3%-0.2%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.8%+6.6%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-12.6%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-5.1%
Q4 2012-5.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2007-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q4 2008-2.5%

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