NYSE$CCL
Carnival Corp · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Provided business update for the fourth quarter of 2022.
Carnival Corporation & plc reported a U.S. GAAP net loss of $1.6 billion, or $(1.27) diluted EPS, and an adjusted net loss of $1.1 billion, or $(0.85) adjusted EPS, for the fourth quarter of 2022. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2022 was $(96) million, within the previous guidance range. Total customer deposits hit a fourth quarter record of $5.1 billion as of November 30, 2022.
- U.S. GAAP net loss of $1.6 billion, or $(1.27) diluted EPS and adjusted net loss of $1.1 billion, or $(0.85) adjusted EPS, for the fourth quarter of 2022.
- Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2022 was $(96) million, within the previous guidance range.
- For the cruise segment, revenue per passenger cruise day (“PCD”) for the fourth quarter of 2022 increased 0.5% (3.8% in constant dollar) compared to 2019.
- Total customer deposits hit a fourth quarter record of $5.1 billion as of November 30, 2022, surpassing the previous record of $4.9 billion as of November 30, 2019.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.84B
Revenue by segment
Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022
- Passenger Ticket$2.6B—60.3%
- Onboard and Other$1.71B—39.7%
Forward guidance
The company expects occupancy to return to historical levels in the summer of 2023, which has historically been well over 100%. The company expects a 15% reduction in both fuel consumption per ALBD and carbon emissions per ALBD on an annualized basis for the full year 2023, both as compared to 2019.
Tailwinds
- Occupancy for the first quarter of 2023 is expected to be 90% or slightly higher, a 14 percentage point gap, or better, from 2019 levels.
- Occupancy returning to historical levels in the summer of 2023, which has historically been well over 100%.
- The company expects a 15% reduction in both fuel consumption per ALBD and carbon emissions per ALBD on an annualized basis for the full year 2023, both as compared to 2019.
- Adjusted cruise costs excl. fuel per ALBD 4.0% to 5.0% Change compared to 2019 in current dollars for 1Q 2023
- Adjusted EBITDA is expected $250 to $350 million for the first quarter of 2023.
Headwinds
- Adjusted cruise costs excl. fuel per ALBD 6.5% to 7.5% Change compared to 2019 in constant currency for 1Q 2023
- The company expects an adjusted net loss of $750 to $850 million for the first quarter of 2023.
- Interest expense, net of capitalized interest and interest income forecast for the first quarter of 2023 is $0.5 billion.
- Depreciation and amortization forecast for the first quarter of 2023 is $0.6 billion.
- The company’s capacity growth is expected to be 3.7% for the first quarter of 2023 compared to the first quarter of 2019
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.2%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
32 / 72 earnings
Positive
+29.0%
Q1 2020
Best reaction
-25.2%
Q3 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.8% | -3.1% | — | |
| Q4 2025 | +9.7% | +10.3% | +2.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | -4.0% | -6.7% | -9.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2% | +0.8% | +3.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2% | -1.3% | -15.1% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.2% | +2.4% | +2.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -2.8% | -2.8% | +19.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | +12.1% | +14.2% | +4.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | -4.1% | -4.5% | -11.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | +4.8% | +3.0% | -4.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | -5.5% | -9.3% | -22.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.6% | +19.2% | +11.7% | |
| Q1 2023 | +1.1% | +10.0% | -5.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -2.7% | -3.6% | +29.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -25.2% | -18.9% | -2.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | +9.3% | -8.1% | -4.0% | |
| Q1 2022 | -3.4% | -3.0% | +3.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | +12.4% | +16.0% | +16.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | +6.8% | +3.4% | -9.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | -0.1% | -8.4% | -22.0% | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.1% | -3.0% | -6.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.2% | -2.9% | +32.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | -1.9% | -12.3% | -13.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | +4.8% | +19.9% | -2.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | +29.0% | +47.1% | +35.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +9.9% | +9.2% | +11.3% | |
| Q3 2019 | -9.3% | -11.6% | -7.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | -11.8% | -14.0% | -14.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -10.6% | -10.5% | -5.0% | |
| Q4 2018 | -13.0% | -16.0% | -0.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -4.8% | -5.8% | -19.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | -5.9% | -9.8% | -9.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | -4.0% | -2.0% | -1.8% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.7% | -0.4% | +3.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +0.3% | +1.7% | +4.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | +0.0% | -2.1% | +0.9% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.2% | +0.1% | +3.6% | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.4% | +3.3% | +4.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | +2.3% | +3.3% | -0.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.9% | +2.8% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | +6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +6.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +7.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -5.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -12.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -5.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -7.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -2.5% | — | — |
Discussion
Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.
Join the conversation
Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.
Sign in with eToro