NYSE$CCL

Carnival Corp · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported second quarter 2023 earnings and set sights on 2026 SEA Change Program.

Carnival Corporation & plc reported a record second quarter revenue of $4.9 billion, with net yields surpassing 2019's strong levels, and achieved positive operating income, cash from operations and adjusted free cash flow. Total customer deposits reached an all-time high of $7.2 billion. The company is introducing its SEA Change Program, targeting key performance improvements by 2026.

  • U.S. GAAP net loss of $407 million, or $(0.32) diluted EPS.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2023 was $681 million.
  • Record second quarter revenue of $4.9 billion.
  • Total customer deposits reached an all-time high of $7.2 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.91B

Previous: $2.4B+104.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.31

Previous: -$1.64+81.1%
Customer Deposits

$7.2B

Previous: $5.1B+41.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.77B

Previous: -$3.22B+45.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.18B

Previous: -$5.06B+56.9%
Net Income

-$407M

Previous: -$1.83B+77.8%
Operating Income

$120M

Previous: -$1.47B+108.1%
Gross Profit

$1.45B

Previous: -$282M+615.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.47B

Previous: $7.05B-36.7%
Total Assets

$51.9B

Previous: $53B-2.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$22M

Previous: $28M-21.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.91B

Q2 2023+104.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2023, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA of $4.10 billion to $4.25 billion, Occupancy of 100% or higher and Net per diems of 5.5% to 6.5%. For the third quarter of 2023, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA of $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion and Occupancy of 107% or higher.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $4.10 billion to $4.25 billion for full year 2023.
  • Occupancy of 100% or higher for full year 2023.
  • Net per diems of 5.5% to 6.5% for full year 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion for Q3 2023.
  • Occupancy of 107% or higher for Q3 2023.

Headwinds

  • Approximately $0.5 billion unfavorable impact from fuel price and currency compared to 2019 for full year 2023.
  • Slower expected ramp down in inflationary pressures.
  • Incentive compensation increases reflecting expected improvements in the company’s current and long-term performance.
  • Continued increases in advertising investments.
  • Headwinds from the loss of St. Petersburg as a marquee destination due to the suspension of cruises to Russia.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+29.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%
Q4 2025+9.7%+10.3%+2.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-6.7%-9.0%
Q2 2025-1.2%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2025-1.2%-1.3%-15.1%
Q4 2024+2.2%+2.4%+2.7%
Q3 2024-2.8%-2.8%+19.5%
Q2 2024+12.1%+14.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-4.5%-11.5%
Q4 2023+4.8%+3.0%-4.1%
Q3 2023-5.5%-9.3%-22.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+19.2%+11.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%+10.0%-5.1%
Q4 2022-2.7%-3.6%+29.3%
Q3 2022-25.2%-18.9%-2.4%
Q2 2022+9.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-3.0%+3.0%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.0%+16.1%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-0.1%-8.4%-22.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-3.0%-6.4%
Q4 2020-1.2%-2.9%+32.5%
Q3 2020-1.9%-12.3%-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.8%+19.9%-2.5%
Q1 2020+29.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Q4 2019+9.9%+9.2%+11.3%
Q3 2019-9.3%-11.6%-7.3%
Q2 2019-11.8%-14.0%-14.7%
Q1 2019-10.6%-10.5%-5.0%
Q4 2018-13.0%-16.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-5.8%-19.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-9.8%-9.1%
Q1 2018-4.0%-2.0%-1.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.4%+3.6%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.7%+4.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+3.6%
Q4 2016+3.4%+3.3%+4.2%
Q3 2016+2.3%+3.3%-0.2%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.8%+6.6%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-12.6%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-5.1%
Q4 2012-5.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2007-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q4 2008-2.5%

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