NYSE$CCL

Carnival Corp · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record first quarter revenues and all-time record booking levels.

Carnival Corporation & plc reported record first quarter revenues of $5.4 billion and all-time record booking levels, with significant improvements in net yields and net per diems compared to 2023. The company's bottom line improved by nearly $500 million compared to 2023, and adjusted net loss was better than December guidance, driven by continued strength in demand and higher ticket prices.

  • Record first quarter revenues of $5.4 billion with record net yields and record net per diems significantly exceeding 2023 levels.
  • First quarter bottom line improved by nearly $500 million compared to 2023, with adjusted net loss better than December guidance.
  • Booking volumes hit an all-time high with prices considerably higher year over year.
  • Total customer deposits reached a first quarter record of $7.0 billion, surpassing the previous first quarter record by $1.3 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.41B

Previous: $4.43B+22.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.55+74.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.14B

Previous: -$1.08B-98.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.35B

Previous: -$1.77B-33.0%
Net Income

-$214M

Previous: -$693M+69.1%
Operating Income

$276M

Previous: -$172M+260.5%
Gross Profit

$1.7B

Previous: $1.12B+51.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.24B

Previous: $5.46B-58.9%
Total Assets

$49.8B

Previous: $52B-4.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$11M

Previous: $9M+22.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.41B

Q1 2024+22%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 16 quarters(31%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, net yields are expected to be up approximately 9.5 percent compared to 2023, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $5.63 billion. For the second quarter of 2024, net yields are expected to be up approximately 10.5 percent compared to 2023 levels, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $1.05 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 9.5 percent compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel (in constant currency) are $35 million better than December guidance.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $5.63 billion, over 30 percent growth compared to 2023.
  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 10.5 percent compared to 2023 levels for Q2.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.05 billion, over 50 percent growth compared to the second quarter of 2023.

Headwinds

  • Guidance does not include the current estimated impact of up to $10 million on both adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income for the full year 2024 due to the event in Baltimore.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) 0.5 percentage points higher than December guidance as a result of lower ALBD’s from the Red Sea rerouting.
  • The Red Sea rerouting has an impact of approximately $130 million or $0.09 adjusted EPS through November 2024.
  • Net yields (in constant currency) include the unfavorable impact from the Red Sea rerouting of 0.5 percentage points for Q2.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 3.0 percent compared to the second quarter of 2023, including the unfavorable impact of 1.3 percentage points as a result of lower ALBD’s from the Red Sea rerouting.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+29.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%
Q4 2025+9.7%+10.3%+2.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-6.7%-9.0%
Q2 2025-1.2%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2025-1.2%-1.3%-15.1%
Q4 2024+2.2%+2.4%+2.7%
Q3 2024-2.8%-2.8%+19.5%
Q2 2024+12.1%+14.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-4.5%-11.5%
Q4 2023+4.8%+3.0%-4.1%
Q3 2023-5.5%-9.3%-22.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+19.2%+11.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%+10.0%-5.1%
Q4 2022-2.7%-3.6%+29.3%
Q3 2022-25.2%-18.9%-2.4%
Q2 2022+9.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-3.0%+3.0%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.0%+16.1%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-0.1%-8.4%-22.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-3.0%-6.4%
Q4 2020-1.2%-2.9%+32.5%
Q3 2020-1.9%-12.3%-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.8%+19.9%-2.5%
Q1 2020+29.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Q4 2019+9.9%+9.2%+11.3%
Q3 2019-9.3%-11.6%-7.3%
Q2 2019-11.8%-14.0%-14.7%
Q1 2019-10.6%-10.5%-5.0%
Q4 2018-13.0%-16.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-5.8%-19.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-9.8%-9.1%
Q1 2018-4.0%-2.0%-1.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.4%+3.6%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.7%+4.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+3.6%
Q4 2016+3.4%+3.3%+4.2%
Q3 2016+2.3%+3.3%-0.2%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.8%+6.6%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-12.6%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-5.1%
Q4 2012-5.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2007-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q4 2008-2.5%

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