NYSE$CCL

Carnival Corp · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record-setting operating results, outperformed third quarter guidance, and raised full year 2024 guidance for the third time.

Carnival Corporation & plc reported a strong third quarter with record revenues of $7.9 billion and net income of $1.7 billion, driven by high-margin, same-ship yield growth and cost saving opportunities. The company raised its full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $6.0 billion and expects adjusted return on invested capital to be approximately 10.5 percent.

  • Net income increased over 60 percent compared to 2023, reaching $1.7 billion.
  • Revenues hit an all-time high of $7.9 billion, up $1.0 billion compared to the prior year.
  • Operating income reached a record $2.2 billion, exceeding 2023 levels by $554 million.
  • Full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to approximately $6.0 billion, up over 40 percent compared to 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.9B

Previous: $6.85B+15.2%
EPS

$1.26

Previous: $0.86+46.5%
Occupancy Percentage

112.0%

No prior period
Customer Deposits

$6.43B

Previous: $6.3B+2.0%
Fuel per ALBD (MT)

29.5

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.03B

Previous: -$2.61B-54.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.3B

Previous: -$1.54B-49.8%
Net Income

$1.74B

Previous: $1.07B+61.5%
Operating Income

$2.18B

Previous: $1.62B+34.1%
Gross Profit

$3.59B

Previous: $2.93B+22.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.52B

Previous: $2.84B-46.4%
Total Assets

$49.8B

Previous: $49.8B+0.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$17M

Previous: $12M+41.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.9B

Q3 2024+15.2%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, Carnival expects net yields to be up approximately 10.4 percent, adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD to be up approximately 3.5 percent, and adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $6.0 billion. For the fourth quarter of 2024, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.14 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 10.4 percent compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 3.5 percent compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $6.0 billion, up over 40 percent compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted return on invested capital of approximately 10.5 percent.
  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 5.0 percent compared to particularly strong 2023 levels for Q4.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 8.0 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 due primarily to higher dry-dock days and higher investment in advertising.
  • Newbuild capital expenditures for Q4 are $0.2 billion.
  • Non-newbuild capital expenditures for Q4 are $0.6 billion.
  • Fuel expense (including EUA expense) for full year 2024 is expected to be $1.98 billion.
  • Interest expense, net of capitalized interest and interest income for full year 2024 is expected to be $1.68 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+29.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%
Q4 2025+9.7%+10.3%+2.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-6.7%-9.0%
Q2 2025-1.2%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2025-1.2%-1.3%-15.1%
Q4 2024+2.2%+2.4%+2.7%
Q3 2024-2.8%-2.8%+19.5%
Q2 2024+12.1%+14.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-4.5%-11.5%
Q4 2023+4.8%+3.0%-4.1%
Q3 2023-5.5%-9.3%-22.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+19.2%+11.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%+10.0%-5.1%
Q4 2022-2.7%-3.6%+29.3%
Q3 2022-25.2%-18.9%-2.4%
Q2 2022+9.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-3.0%+3.0%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.0%+16.1%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-0.1%-8.4%-22.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-3.0%-6.4%
Q4 2020-1.2%-2.9%+32.5%
Q3 2020-1.9%-12.3%-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.8%+19.9%-2.5%
Q1 2020+29.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Q4 2019+9.9%+9.2%+11.3%
Q3 2019-9.3%-11.6%-7.3%
Q2 2019-11.8%-14.0%-14.7%
Q1 2019-10.6%-10.5%-5.0%
Q4 2018-13.0%-16.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-5.8%-19.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-9.8%-9.1%
Q1 2018-4.0%-2.0%-1.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.4%+3.6%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.7%+4.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+3.6%
Q4 2016+3.4%+3.3%+4.2%
Q3 2016+2.3%+3.3%-0.2%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.8%+6.6%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-12.6%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-5.1%
Q4 2012-5.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2007-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q4 2008-2.5%

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