NYSE$CCL

Carnival Corp · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carnival reported a net loss of $1.9 billion, but saw revenue per passenger cruise day increase by 7.5% compared to 2019.

Carnival Corporation & plc reported a U.S. GAAP net loss of $1.9 billion and an adjusted net loss of $1.9 billion for Q1 2022. The company ended the quarter with $7.2 billion in liquidity. Revenue per passenger cruise day increased by 7.5% compared to 2019, driven by strong onboard and other revenue. Occupancy was at 54%, a 20% increase over the prior quarter. The company expects monthly adjusted EBITDA to turn positive at the beginning of the summer season.

  • U.S. GAAP net loss and adjusted net loss of $1.9 billion for the first quarter of 2022.
  • Ended the first quarter with $7.2 billion of liquidity.
  • Revenue per passenger cruise day increased approximately 7.5% compared to 2019.
  • 75% of the company's capacity had resumed guest cruise operations as of March 22, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.62B

Previous: $26M+6142.3%
EPS (adj)

-$1.66

Previous: -$1.79+7.3%
Occupancy Percentage

54.0%

Previous: 16.0%+237.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.73B

Previous: -$1.77B-53.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$4.62B

Previous: -$3.75B-23.3%
Net Income

-$1.89B

Previous: -$1.97B+4.2%
Operating Income

-$1.49B

Previous: -$1.52B+2.2%
Gross Profit

-$407M

Previous: -$509M+20.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.41B

Previous: $9.67B-33.7%
Total Assets

$53.3B

Previous: $57.2B-6.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$26M

Previous: $40M-35.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.62B

Q1 2022+6,142.3%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $1.62B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $873M
  • Onboard and Other
    $750M

Forward guidance

The company continues to expect a net loss for the second quarter of 2022 on both a U.S. GAAP and adjusted basis. However, the company expects a profit for the third quarter of 2022. For the full year 2022, the company expects a net loss.

Tailwinds

  • Expects monthly adjusted EBITDA to turn positive by the beginning of the summer season.
  • Expects improvement in occupancy throughout 2022 until it returns to historical levels in 2023.
  • Recent weekly booking volumes have been higher than at any point since the restart of guest cruise operations.
  • Prices on bookings for the second half of 2022 continue to be higher compared to 2019 sailings.
  • Cumulative advance bookings for the first half of 2023 continues to be both at the higher end of the historical range and at higher prices compared to 2019 sailings.

Headwinds

  • Continues to expect a net loss for the second quarter of 2022 on both a U.S. GAAP and adjusted basis.
  • Expects a net loss for the full year 2022.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD for the full year 2022, to be significantly higher than 2019.
  • Increased uncertainty given the current invasion of Ukraine, including its effect on the price of fuel, are collectively having a material impact on its business.
  • Cumulative advance bookings for the second half of 2022 are at the lower-end of the historical range.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+29.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%
Q4 2025+9.7%+10.3%+2.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-6.7%-9.0%
Q2 2025-1.2%+0.8%+3.2%
Q1 2025-1.2%-1.3%-15.1%
Q4 2024+2.2%+2.4%+2.7%
Q3 2024-2.8%-2.8%+19.5%
Q2 2024+12.1%+14.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-4.5%-11.5%
Q4 2023+4.8%+3.0%-4.1%
Q3 2023-5.5%-9.3%-22.9%
Q2 2023+0.6%+19.2%+11.7%
Q1 2023+1.1%+10.0%-5.1%
Q4 2022-2.7%-3.6%+29.3%
Q3 2022-25.2%-18.9%-2.4%
Q2 2022+9.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-3.0%+3.0%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.0%+16.1%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.7%
Q2 2021-0.1%-8.4%-22.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-3.0%-6.4%
Q4 2020-1.2%-2.9%+32.5%
Q3 2020-1.9%-12.3%-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.8%+19.9%-2.5%
Q1 2020+29.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Q4 2019+9.9%+9.2%+11.3%
Q3 2019-9.3%-11.6%-7.3%
Q2 2019-11.8%-14.0%-14.7%
Q1 2019-10.6%-10.5%-5.0%
Q4 2018-13.0%-16.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-5.8%-19.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-9.8%-9.1%
Q1 2018-4.0%-2.0%-1.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.4%+3.6%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.7%+4.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.2%+0.1%+3.6%
Q4 2016+3.4%+3.3%+4.2%
Q3 2016+2.3%+3.3%-0.2%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.8%+6.6%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-12.6%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013-5.1%
Q4 2012-5.2%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2007-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2008-2.5%
Q3 2009-2.5%
Q4 2008-2.5%

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