NYSE$ASIX

Advansix Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered solid earnings and cash flow results amidst a dynamic macro environment.

AdvanSix reported Q2 2023 sales of $428 million, a 27% decrease compared to the prior year. Earnings per share (EPS) was $1.16, and adjusted EPS was $1.25. The company returned $19 million to shareholders through repurchases and dividends and announced a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend.

  • Sales decreased by approximately 27% compared to the prior year, influenced by market-based pricing, raw material pass-through pricing, and lower volume.
  • Net Income was $32.7 million, a decrease of $32.4 million compared to the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $65.8 million, a decrease of $39.6 million compared to the prior year.
  • Free Cash Flow was $15.7 million, a decrease of $62.4 million versus the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$428M

Previous: $584M-26.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.25

Previous: $2.30-45.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$43.9M

Previous: -$38.8M-13.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.2M

Previous: $26.4M-142.3%
Net Income

$32.7M

Previous: $65.2M-49.8%
Operating Income

-$384M

Previous: -$498M+22.8%
Gross Profit

$67.9M

Previous: $107M-36.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.5M

Previous: $17.3M-39.1%
Total Assets

$1.47B

Previous: $1.48B-1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.44M

Previous: $2.01M+21.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Advansix · Revenue · Quarterly

$428M

Q2 2023-26.7%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Advansix · $289M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Chemical Intermediates
    $121M-23.5%
  • Nylon
    $93M-29.6%
  • Caprolactam
    $74.7M-14.3%

Forward guidance

AdvanSix anticipates favorable agriculture industry fundamentals, balanced acetone supply and demand, and continued unfavorable conditions in nylon and chemical intermediates. Capital expenditures are expected to be $110 million to $120 million in 2023, and the pre-tax income impact of planned plant turnarounds is expected to be $25 million to $30 million in 3Q23.

Tailwinds

  • Expect favorable underlying agriculture industry fundamentals to continue
  • Expect balanced supply and demand conditions for North American acetone to continue
  • Well positioned to offer near, medium and long-term value for our shareholders supported by the structural improvements made to the underlying earnings power of this business.
  • Committed to producing the right chemistries with the right properties to solve our customers' most exciting opportunities
  • Recently illustrated by the introduction of new 100 percent post-consumer recycled content nylon

Headwinds

  • Typical North American ammonium sulfate seasonality expected to drive 3Q23 sequential domestic pricing decline
  • Expect continued unfavorable supply and demand conditions across nylon and other chemical intermediates due to headwinds in consumer durables and building and construction end markets
  • Continue to expect Capital Expenditures of $110 million to $120 million in 2023, reflecting increased spend due to critical infrastructure, other maintenance, and growth and cost savings projects
  • Continue to expect pre-tax income impact of planned plant turnarounds to be $25 million to $30 million in 3Q23, totaling $28 million to $33 million in full year 2023
  • Highly focused on the execution of our upcoming third quarter planned plant turnaround to support safe, stable and sustainable operations at higher utilization rates relative to our industry.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+15.6%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.5%-6.0%-9.9%
Q4 2025+3.9%+0.8%+12.5%
Q3 2025-15.0%-10.9%-11.7%
Q1 2025+6.1%+6.9%+10.4%
Q3 2024+5.0%+11.8%+14.5%
Q2 2024+2.7%+4.0%+10.5%
Q1 2024-9.9%-6.3%-8.0%
Q4 2023+0.8%-0.6%-4.2%
Q3 2023-9.5%-13.2%-5.0%
Q2 2023-8.1%-5.3%-14.0%
Q1 2023-0.7%-1.2%+1.1%
Q4 2022-3.3%-0.9%-17.7%
Q3 2022+3.7%+1.7%+14.9%
Q2 2022+1.6%+2.0%-8.2%
Q1 2022-3.9%-4.2%-2.2%
Q4 2021-11.0%-14.7%+30.5%
Q3 2021+5.4%+8.3%+2.4%
Q2 2021+2.6%+6.9%+11.5%
Q1 2021+3.3%+6.7%+3.4%
Q4 2020+11.5%+8.1%+2.8%
Q3 2020+4.4%-1.3%+23.6%
Q2 2020+1.5%+5.2%+16.4%
Q1 2020-6.0%-7.2%-2.8%
Q4 2019-15.5%-27.0%-34.1%
Q3 2019+3.4%+4.0%-11.1%
Q2 2019-2.3%-10.3%-12.9%
Q1 2019+8.1%+1.6%-18.7%
Q4 2018+2.0%-1.2%-15.6%
Q3 2018-8.9%-2.9%-2.5%
Q2 2018-13.2%-13.5%-15.0%
Q1 2018-5.5%+2.0%+2.9%
Q4 2017+4.5%+6.6%-12.2%
Q3 2017-6.7%-7.2%-11.4%
Q2 2017-4.6%-4.0%+3.2%
Q2 2016-4.6%-4.0%+3.2%
Q1 2017+15.6%+13.7%+11.3%
Q1 2016+15.6%+13.7%+11.3%
Q1 2015-7.1%-9.9%-11.7%
Q2 2015-7.1%-9.9%-11.7%
Q4 2014-7.1%-9.9%-11.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%-2.2%+1.3%
Q4 2015+8.5%+6.9%+30.4%
Q3 2016+8.5%+6.9%+30.4%
Q3 2015+8.5%+6.9%+30.4%

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