NYSE$ASIX

Advansix Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AdvanSix's first quarter results were impacted by an operational disruption, resulting in decreased sales and profitability.

AdvanSix reported a decrease in sales by 16% compared to the prior year, primarily due to unfavorable market-based pricing and a decrease in volume caused by an operational disruption. This led to a net loss of $17.4 million and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA to $0.6 million.

  • Sales decreased by 16% due to unfavorable pricing and reduced volume from operational disruption.
  • Net loss was ($17.4) million, a decrease of $52.4 million year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $64.8 million to $0.6 million.
  • Free cash flow was ($71.6) million, a decrease of $48.6 million year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$337M

Previous: $401M-15.9%
EPS

-$0.65

Previous: $1.30-150.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$595K

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

0.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$35.4M

Previous: -$24.6M-43.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$52.8M

Previous: $10.4M-609.9%
Net Income

-$17.4M

Previous: $35M-149.8%
Operating Income

-$358M

Previous: -$356M-0.7%
Gross Profit

$2.97M

Previous: $70.5M-95.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$20.6M

Previous: $1.83M+1030.0%
Total Assets

$1.47B

Previous: $1.45B+1.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Advansix · Revenue · Quarterly

$337M

Q1 2024-15.9%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Advansix · $238M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Nylon
    $86.1M-39.0%
  • Chemical Intermediates
    $83.5M-27.6%
  • Caprolactam
    $68.8M-24.3%

Forward guidance

AdvanSix anticipates improvements in ammonium sulfate pricing, balanced to tight acetone supply, and modest improvement in nylon industry spreads. Capital expenditures are expected to be $140 to $150 million, and the pre-tax income impact of plant turnarounds is projected to be $38 to $43 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expect second quarter 2024 ammonium sulfate sequential pricing improvement amid continued sulfur demand growth and tight North American supply
  • Expect balanced to tight global acetone supply and demand conditions
  • Expect nylon industry spreads to modestly improve through 2024 off 2023 trough levels

Headwinds

  • Continue to expect Capital Expenditures of $140 million to $150 million in 2024, reflecting increased spend to address critical enterprise risk mitigation and growth projects including our SUSTAIN (Sustainable U.S. Sulfate to Accelerate Increased Nutrition) program
  • Continue to expect pre-tax income impact of planned plant turnarounds to be $38 to $43 million in 2024; Shifting larger planned turnaround to 4Q24 from 3Q24

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+15.6%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.5%-6.0%-9.9%
Q4 2025+3.9%+0.8%+12.5%
Q3 2025-15.0%-10.9%-11.7%
Q1 2025+6.1%+6.9%+10.4%
Q3 2024+5.0%+11.8%+14.5%
Q2 2024+2.7%+4.0%+10.5%
Q1 2024-9.9%-6.3%-8.0%
Q4 2023+0.8%-0.6%-4.2%
Q3 2023-9.5%-13.2%-5.0%
Q2 2023-8.1%-5.3%-14.0%
Q1 2023-0.7%-1.2%+1.1%
Q4 2022-3.3%-0.9%-17.7%
Q3 2022+3.7%+1.7%+14.9%
Q2 2022+1.6%+2.0%-8.2%
Q1 2022-3.9%-4.2%-2.2%
Q4 2021-11.0%-14.7%+30.5%
Q3 2021+5.4%+8.3%+2.4%
Q2 2021+2.6%+6.9%+11.5%
Q1 2021+3.3%+6.7%+3.4%
Q4 2020+11.5%+8.1%+2.8%
Q3 2020+4.4%-1.3%+23.6%
Q2 2020+1.5%+5.2%+16.4%
Q1 2020-6.0%-7.2%-2.8%
Q4 2019-15.5%-27.0%-34.1%
Q3 2019+3.4%+4.0%-11.1%
Q2 2019-2.3%-10.3%-12.9%
Q1 2019+8.1%+1.6%-18.7%
Q4 2018+2.0%-1.2%-15.6%
Q3 2018-8.9%-2.9%-2.5%
Q2 2018-13.2%-13.5%-15.0%
Q1 2018-5.5%+2.0%+2.9%
Q4 2017+4.5%+6.6%-12.2%
Q3 2017-6.7%-7.2%-11.4%
Q2 2017-4.6%-4.0%+3.2%
Q2 2016-4.6%-4.0%+3.2%
Q1 2017+15.6%+13.7%+11.3%
Q1 2016+15.6%+13.7%+11.3%
Q1 2015-7.1%-9.9%-11.7%
Q2 2015-7.1%-9.9%-11.7%
Q4 2014-7.1%-9.9%-11.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%-2.2%+1.3%
Q4 2015+8.5%+6.9%+30.4%
Q3 2016+8.5%+6.9%+30.4%
Q3 2015+8.5%+6.9%+30.4%

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