NASDAQ$MEDP

Medpace Holdings Inc. · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Medpace's Q2 2023 financial performance reflected significant revenue growth and strong new business awards.

Medpace Holdings, Inc. reported a strong second quarter in 2023, with a 31.2% increase in revenue to $460.9 million compared to the previous year. Net new business awards increased by 27.6% to $574.8 million, resulting in a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.25x. GAAP net income rose to $61.1 million, or $1.93 per diluted share.

  • Revenue increased by 31.2% to $460.9 million compared to Q2 2022.
  • Net new business awards increased by 27.6% to $574.8 million, yielding a book-to-bill ratio of 1.25x.
  • GAAP net income was $61.1 million, or $1.93 per diluted share, compared to $49.4 million, or $1.46 per diluted share, in Q2 2022.
  • EBITDA increased by 22.8% to $83.6 million, representing 18.1% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$461M

Previous: $351M+31.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.93

Previous: $1.46+32.2%
Net New Business Awards

$575M

Previous: $451M+27.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$18M

Previous: -$20.5M+12.2%
Free Cash Flow

$43.1M

Previous: $28.9M+49.2%
Net Income

$61.1M

Previous: $49.4M+23.7%
Operating Income

$78.4M

Previous: $60.2M+30.1%
Gross Profit

-$337M

Previous: -$252M-33.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$39.1M

Previous: $42.6M-8.0%
Total Assets

$1.41B

Previous: $1.32B+7.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.91M

Previous: $5.65M-13.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Medpace · Revenue · Quarterly

$461M

Q2 2023+31.2%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company forecasts 2023 revenue in the range of $1.840 billion to $1.880 billion, representing growth of 26.0% to 28.8% over 2022 revenue of $1.460 billion. GAAP net income for full year 2023 is forecasted in the range of $256.0 million to $271.0 million. Additionally, full year 2023 EBITDA is expected in the range of $340.0 million to $358.0 million. Based on forecasted 2023 revenue of $1.840 billion to $1.880 billion and GAAP net income of $256.0 million to $271.0 million, diluted earnings per share (GAAP) is forecasted in the range of $8.04 to $8.50.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is projected to grow by 26.0% to 28.8% compared to 2022.
  • Full year GAAP net income is forecasted between $256.0 million and $271.0 million.
  • Full year EBITDA is expected to range from $340.0 million to $358.0 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share (GAAP) are forecasted between $8.04 and $8.50.
  • Assumes a full year 2023 tax rate of 17.5% to 18.5%.

Headwinds

  • Guidance does not reflect the potential impact of any share repurchases the Company may make after June 30, 2023.
  • Potential loss, delay or non-renewal of contracts.
  • Failure to convert backlog to revenue.
  • Failure to maintain or generate new business awards.
  • Fluctuation in results between fiscal quarters and years.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

19 / 43 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-19.4%-14.9%
Q4 2025-15.9%-19.3%-16.3%
Q3 2025+9.0%+6.2%+8.2%
Q2 2025-0.2%+1.5%+7.0%
Q1 2025-2.3%+3.3%+1.4%
Q4 2024-7.5%-4.0%-10.3%
Q3 2024-8.4%-7.3%-8.5%
Q2 2024-15.2%-9.5%-6.1%
Q1 2024+9.4%+6.4%+4.8%
Q4 2023+11.6%+20.0%+25.0%
Q3 2023+18.8%+9.2%+20.8%
Q2 2023+4.6%+3.9%+1.8%
Q1 2023+10.2%+5.9%+7.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-7.6%-20.4%
Q3 2022+39.0%+41.5%+39.2%
Q2 2022-2.9%+5.0%+3.8%
Q1 2022-12.0%-11.3%-12.2%
Q4 2021-20.6%-18.2%-12.1%
Q3 2021+13.9%+21.1%+14.4%
Q2 2021-6.0%-3.4%-0.8%
Q1 2021-12.8%-11.3%-13.3%
Q4 2020-2.7%-5.3%-2.0%
Q3 2020-6.1%-4.8%+4.4%
Q2 2020+15.5%+12.8%+16.7%
Q1 2020-2.5%-11.9%+9.0%
Q4 2019+2.4%-9.7%-31.7%
Q3 2019+0.8%-0.5%+3.8%
Q2 2019+24.9%+19.9%+27.2%
Q1 2019-4.3%-1.6%-4.7%
Q4 2018-21.3%-21.8%-18.4%
Q3 2018+0.2%+13.9%+21.8%
Q2 2018+28.6%+24.4%+23.4%
Q1 2018+2.3%-0.0%+12.9%
Q4 2017-15.7%-14.3%-5.3%
Q3 2017+6.2%+5.6%-3.7%
Q2 2017+8.0%+15.1%+17.2%
Q1 2016-31.5%-29.1%-12.6%
Q1 2017-29.1%-27.5%-12.3%
Q4 2014-21.3%-20.7%-22.2%
Q2 2016-21.3%-20.7%-22.2%
Q4 2016-19.8%-20.1%-22.3%
Q3 2016+3.8%+8.1%+24.0%
Q4 2015+3.8%+8.1%+24.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q1 2014

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