NASDAQ$MEDP
Medpace Holdings Inc. · Q2 2020 earnings
Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Medpace's second quarter results were announced, demonstrating a decrease in revenue and net income compared to the prior-year period, but backlog grew.
Medpace Holdings, Inc. reported a decrease in revenue for the second quarter of 2020, with a corresponding decrease in net income compared to the same period in 2019. However, the company's backlog experienced growth, and net new business awards were significant, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio above 1.
- Revenue for Q2 2020 decreased by 4.3% to $205.0 million compared to $214.1 million in Q2 2019.
- Net new business awards in Q2 2020 were $254.1 million, a 9.0% decrease from $279.2 million in Q2 2019, resulting in a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.24x.
- GAAP net income for Q2 2020 was $24.1 million, or $0.64 per diluted share, compared to $27.5 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, in Q2 2019.
- Backlog as of June 30, 2020, grew 14.6% to $1.3 billion from $1.2 billion as of June 30, 2019.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Medpace · Revenue · Quarterly
$205M
Forward guidance
The Company forecasts 2020 revenue in the range of $880.0 million to $920.0 million, representing growth of 2.2% to 6.9% over 2019 revenue of $861.0 million. GAAP net income for full year 2020 is forecasted in the range of $136.0 million to $144.0 million. Additionally, full year 2020 EBITDA is expected in the range of $180.0 million to $190.0 million. Based on forecasted 2020 revenue of $880.0 million to $920.0 million and GAAP net income of $136.0 million to $144.0 million, diluted earnings per share (GAAP) is forecasted in the range of $3.62 to $3.83.
Tailwinds
- Revenue growth of 2.2% to 6.9% over 2019 revenue of $861.0 million
- Full year 2020 GAAP net income is forecasted in the range of $136.0 million to $144.0 million
- Full year 2020 EBITDA is expected in the range of $180.0 million to $190.0 million
- Diluted earnings per share (GAAP) is forecasted in the range of $3.62 to $3.83
- Guidance assumes a full year 2020 tax rate of 15.0% to 16.0%
Headwinds
- Guidance does not reflect the potential impact of any share repurchases the Company may make pursuant to the share repurchase program.
- Potential loss, delay or non-renewal of our contracts, or the non-payment by customers for services we have performed
- The failure to convert backlog to revenue at our present or historical conversion rate
- Decreased operating margins due to increased pricing pressure or other factors
- Failure to perform our services in accordance with contractual requirements, government regulations and ethical considerations
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020
-1.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
-1.6%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.1%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
19 / 43 earnings
Positive
+39.0%
Q3 2022
Best reaction
-31.5%
Q1 2016
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -2.5% | -19.4% | -14.9% | |
| Q4 2025 | -15.9% | -19.3% | -16.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | +9.0% | +6.2% | +8.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2% | +1.5% | +7.0% | |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3% | +3.3% | +1.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -7.5% | -4.0% | -10.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -8.4% | -7.3% | -8.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | -15.2% | -9.5% | -6.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +9.4% | +6.4% | +4.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | +11.6% | +20.0% | +25.0% | |
| Q3 2023 | +18.8% | +9.2% | +20.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +4.6% | +3.9% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2023 | +10.2% | +5.9% | +7.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | -2.9% | -7.6% | -20.4% | |
| Q3 2022 | +39.0% | +41.5% | +39.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | -2.9% | +5.0% | +3.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | -12.0% | -11.3% | -12.2% | |
| Q4 2021 | -20.6% | -18.2% | -12.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | +13.9% | +21.1% | +14.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.0% | -3.4% | -0.8% | |
| Q1 2021 | -12.8% | -11.3% | -13.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.7% | -5.3% | -2.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | -6.1% | -4.8% | +4.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +15.5% | +12.8% | +16.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -2.5% | -11.9% | +9.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +2.4% | -9.7% | -31.7% | |
| Q3 2019 | +0.8% | -0.5% | +3.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | +24.9% | +19.9% | +27.2% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.3% | -1.6% | -4.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -21.3% | -21.8% | -18.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | +0.2% | +13.9% | +21.8% | |
| Q2 2018 | +28.6% | +24.4% | +23.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | +2.3% | -0.0% | +12.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -15.7% | -14.3% | -5.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +6.2% | +5.6% | -3.7% | |
| Q2 2017 | +8.0% | +15.1% | +17.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | -31.5% | -29.1% | -12.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | -29.1% | -27.5% | -12.3% | |
| Q4 2014 | -21.3% | -20.7% | -22.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | -21.3% | -20.7% | -22.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | -19.8% | -20.1% | -22.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +3.8% | +8.1% | +24.0% | |
| Q4 2015 | +3.8% | +8.1% | +24.0% | |
| Q3 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | — | — | — |
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