NASDAQ$MEDP

Medpace Holdings Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter results with revenue increasing by 28.3% and net new business awards increasing by 29.9%.

Medpace Holdings, Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023, with revenue of $492.5 million, a 28.3% increase compared to the prior-year period. Net new business awards increased by 29.9% to $611.5 million, resulting in a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.24x. GAAP net income was $70.6 million, or $2.22 per diluted share.

  • Revenue for Q3 2023 increased 28.3% to $492.5 million compared to $383.7 million in the prior-year period.
  • Net new business awards for Q3 2023 were $611.5 million, a 29.9% increase from $470.9 million in the prior-year period, resulting in a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.24x.
  • GAAP net income for Q3 2023 was $70.6 million, or $2.22 per diluted share, compared to $66.0 million, or $2.05 per diluted share, in the prior-year period.
  • Backlog as of September 30, 2023, increased 20.3% to $2,689.5 million from $2,236.2 million as of September 30, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$492M

Previous: $384M+28.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.22

Previous: $2.05+8.3%
Net New Business Awards

$612M

Previous: $471M+29.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$26.7M

Previous: -$27.6M+3.5%
Free Cash Flow

$43.9M

Previous: $38.4M+14.3%
Net Income

$70.6M

Previous: $66M+6.9%
Operating Income

$84.9M

Previous: $77.8M+9.1%
Gross Profit

-$359M

Previous: -$265M-35.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$95.2M

Previous: $31M+207.1%
Total Assets

$1.49B

Previous: $1.33B+11.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.01M

Previous: $5.79M-13.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Medpace · Revenue · Quarterly

$492M

Q3 2023+28.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company forecasts 2023 revenue in the range of $1.870 billion to $1.890 billion. GAAP net income for full year 2023 is forecasted in the range of $272.0 million to $276.0 million. Additionally, full year 2023 EBITDA is expected in the range of $353.0 million to $361.0 million. The Company forecasts 2024 revenue in the range of $2.150 billion to $2.200 billion. Full year 2024 EBITDA is expected in the range of $390.0 million to $415.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

19 / 43 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-19.4%-14.9%
Q4 2025-15.9%-19.3%-16.3%
Q3 2025+9.0%+6.2%+8.2%
Q2 2025-0.2%+1.5%+7.0%
Q1 2025-2.3%+3.3%+1.4%
Q4 2024-7.5%-4.0%-10.3%
Q3 2024-8.4%-7.3%-8.5%
Q2 2024-15.2%-9.5%-6.1%
Q1 2024+9.4%+6.4%+4.8%
Q4 2023+11.6%+20.0%+25.0%
Q3 2023+18.8%+9.2%+20.8%
Q2 2023+4.6%+3.9%+1.8%
Q1 2023+10.2%+5.9%+7.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-7.6%-20.4%
Q3 2022+39.0%+41.5%+39.2%
Q2 2022-2.9%+5.0%+3.8%
Q1 2022-12.0%-11.3%-12.2%
Q4 2021-20.6%-18.2%-12.1%
Q3 2021+13.9%+21.1%+14.4%
Q2 2021-6.0%-3.4%-0.8%
Q1 2021-12.8%-11.3%-13.3%
Q4 2020-2.7%-5.3%-2.0%
Q3 2020-6.1%-4.8%+4.4%
Q2 2020+15.5%+12.8%+16.7%
Q1 2020-2.5%-11.9%+9.0%
Q4 2019+2.4%-9.7%-31.7%
Q3 2019+0.8%-0.5%+3.8%
Q2 2019+24.9%+19.9%+27.2%
Q1 2019-4.3%-1.6%-4.7%
Q4 2018-21.3%-21.8%-18.4%
Q3 2018+0.2%+13.9%+21.8%
Q2 2018+28.6%+24.4%+23.4%
Q1 2018+2.3%-0.0%+12.9%
Q4 2017-15.7%-14.3%-5.3%
Q3 2017+6.2%+5.6%-3.7%
Q2 2017+8.0%+15.1%+17.2%
Q1 2016-31.5%-29.1%-12.6%
Q1 2017-29.1%-27.5%-12.3%
Q4 2014-21.3%-20.7%-22.2%
Q2 2016-21.3%-20.7%-22.2%
Q4 2016-19.8%-20.1%-22.3%
Q3 2016+3.8%+8.1%+24.0%
Q4 2015+3.8%+8.1%+24.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q1 2014

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