NASDAQ$MEDP

Medpace Holdings Inc. · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Medpace's Q2 2024 financial performance was strong, with revenue and earnings increasing significantly year-over-year.

Medpace Holdings, Inc. reported a revenue increase of 14.6% to $528.1 million for Q2 2024. GAAP net income rose to $88.4 million, or $2.75 per diluted share, compared to $61.1 million, or $1.93 per diluted share, in the same period last year. Net new business awards were $551.0 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.04x. The company forecasts 2024 revenue in the range of $2.125 billion to $2.175 billion.

  • Revenue increased by 14.6% to $528.1 million compared to Q2 2023.
  • Net new business awards totaled $551.0 million, yielding a book-to-bill ratio of 1.04x.
  • GAAP net income was $88.4 million, or $2.75 per diluted share, up from $61.1 million, or $1.93 per diluted share, in Q2 2023.
  • EBITDA increased by 34.2% to $112.3 million, representing 21.3% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$528M

Previous: $461M+14.6%
EPS

$2.75

Previous: $1.93+42.5%
Net New Business Awards

$551M

Previous: $575M-4.1%
Net Income Margin

16.7%

No prior period
EBITDA

$112M

No prior period
EBITDA Margin

21.3%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$18.4M

Previous: -$18M-2.3%
Free Cash Flow

$70M

Previous: $43.1M+62.3%
Net Income

$88.4M

Previous: $61.1M+44.7%
Operating Income

$105M

Previous: $78.4M+34.1%
Gross Profit

-$374M

Previous: -$337M-11.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.59M

Previous: $4.91M-26.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Medpace · Revenue · Quarterly

$528M

Q2 2024+14.6%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company forecasts 2024 revenue in the range of $2.125 billion to $2.175 billion. GAAP net income for full year 2024 is forecasted in the range of $361.0 million to $383.0 million. Additionally, full year 2024 EBITDA is expected in the range of $430.0 million to $460.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is forecasted between $2.125 billion and $2.175 billion, indicating a growth of 12.7% to 15.3% over 2023.
  • GAAP net income is projected to be in the range of $361.0 million to $383.0 million for the full year 2024.
  • Diluted earnings per share (GAAP) are forecasted to be between $11.24 and $11.93.
  • EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $430.0 million to $460.0 million for the full year 2024.
  • Guidance assumes a full year 2024 tax rate of 15.0% to 16.0% and interest income of $24.0 million.

Headwinds

  • Guidance does not include the potential impact of any share repurchases the Company may make pursuant to the share repurchase program after June 30, 2024.
  • The forecasts are forward-looking statements, subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions.
  • Actual results could vary materially from past results and those anticipated, estimated, or projected.
  • The company operates in a competitive and rapidly changing environment, and new risks emerge from time to time.
  • Achievement of anticipated results is subject to substantial risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

19 / 43 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-19.4%-14.9%
Q4 2025-15.9%-19.3%-16.3%
Q3 2025+9.0%+6.2%+8.2%
Q2 2025-0.2%+1.5%+7.0%
Q1 2025-2.3%+3.3%+1.4%
Q4 2024-7.5%-4.0%-10.3%
Q3 2024-8.4%-7.3%-8.5%
Q2 2024-15.2%-9.5%-6.1%
Q1 2024+9.4%+6.4%+4.8%
Q4 2023+11.6%+20.0%+25.0%
Q3 2023+18.8%+9.2%+20.8%
Q2 2023+4.6%+3.9%+1.8%
Q1 2023+10.2%+5.9%+7.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-7.6%-20.4%
Q3 2022+39.0%+41.5%+39.2%
Q2 2022-2.9%+5.0%+3.8%
Q1 2022-12.0%-11.3%-12.2%
Q4 2021-20.6%-18.2%-12.1%
Q3 2021+13.9%+21.1%+14.4%
Q2 2021-6.0%-3.4%-0.8%
Q1 2021-12.8%-11.3%-13.3%
Q4 2020-2.7%-5.3%-2.0%
Q3 2020-6.1%-4.8%+4.4%
Q2 2020+15.5%+12.8%+16.7%
Q1 2020-2.5%-11.9%+9.0%
Q4 2019+2.4%-9.7%-31.7%
Q3 2019+0.8%-0.5%+3.8%
Q2 2019+24.9%+19.9%+27.2%
Q1 2019-4.3%-1.6%-4.7%
Q4 2018-21.3%-21.8%-18.4%
Q3 2018+0.2%+13.9%+21.8%
Q2 2018+28.6%+24.4%+23.4%
Q1 2018+2.3%-0.0%+12.9%
Q4 2017-15.7%-14.3%-5.3%
Q3 2017+6.2%+5.6%-3.7%
Q2 2017+8.0%+15.1%+17.2%
Q1 2016-31.5%-29.1%-12.6%
Q1 2017-29.1%-27.5%-12.3%
Q4 2014-21.3%-20.7%-22.2%
Q2 2016-21.3%-20.7%-22.2%
Q4 2016-19.8%-20.1%-22.3%
Q3 2016+3.8%+8.1%+24.0%
Q4 2015+3.8%+8.1%+24.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q1 2014

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