NASDAQ$LOPE

Grand Canyon Education Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grand Canyon Education reported an increase in service revenue and net income for Q4 2023.

Grand Canyon Education reported a 7.6% increase in service revenue, reaching $278.3 million, and a 13.6% increase in net income, totaling $80.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2023. The diluted net income per share was $2.71, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 8.5% to $110.9 million.

  • Service revenue increased by 7.6% to $278.3 million due to higher GCU enrollments and revenue per student.
  • Partner enrollments reached 121,250, including 4,481 at off-campus sites.
  • Operating income rose to $97.8 million, with an operating margin of 35.1%.
  • Net income increased by 13.6% to $80.7 million, with diluted EPS at $2.71.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$278M

Previous: $259M+7.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.77

Previous: $2.36+17.4%
University Partner Enrollments

121.3K

Previous: 113.0K+7.3%
Off-Campus Enrollments

4.5K

Previous: 4.6K-3.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.4M

No prior period
Net Income

$80.7M

Previous: $71M+13.6%
Operating Income

$97.8M

Previous: $90.7M+7.9%
Gross Profit

$154M

Previous: $148M+4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Grand Canyon Education · Revenue · Quarterly

$278M

Q4 2023+7.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Grand Canyon Education · $222M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Service Revenue
    $222M+6.3%

Forward guidance

Grand Canyon Education provided financial outlook for each quarter and the full year of 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Q4 2024 Service revenue is expected to be between $287.0 million and $299.0 million
  • Q4 2024 Operating margin is expected to be between 34.9% and 37.0%
  • Q4 2024 Effective tax rate of 22.8%
  • Q4 2024 Diluted EPS of between $2.75 and $3.03
  • Q4 2024 Non-GAAP diluted income per share of between $2.81 and $3.09

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

42 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-2.7%-11.4%
Q4 2025-7.9%-6.5%-3.2%
Q3 2025-6.2%-5.2%-14.0%
Q1 2025+4.5%+5.5%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.8%-3.6%-8.3%
Q3 2024+17.0%+22.0%+20.1%
Q2 2024-3.5%-2.6%-3.5%
Q1 2024+6.3%+7.6%+4.2%
Q4 2023+0.5%-1.4%-0.3%
Q3 2023+14.2%+13.8%+14.7%
Q2 2023+5.5%+1.5%+9.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-6.6%-12.7%
Q4 2022+1.6%+3.0%-5.9%
Q3 2022+16.4%+17.3%+29.5%
Q2 2022-12.2%-14.0%-15.9%
Q1 2022+3.9%-3.0%-6.5%
Q4 2021+2.4%+5.8%+21.9%
Q3 2021-9.4%-9.5%-14.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2021-16.0%-11.7%-16.3%
Q4 2020+2.1%+2.7%+5.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2020+12.0%+10.3%+3.0%
Q1 2020+7.2%+9.2%+16.5%
Q4 2019-4.3%-6.2%-29.2%
Q3 2019-4.1%-4.1%-3.5%
Q2 2019+5.7%+8.5%-0.1%
Q1 2019-4.2%-1.8%+7.1%
Q4 2018+21.7%+19.8%+17.5%
Q3 2018-0.9%-2.8%-12.0%
Q2 2018-3.2%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2018+6.9%+5.4%+9.9%
Q4 2017+9.0%+10.6%+12.9%
Q3 2017-0.7%-0.7%+4.0%
Q2 2017+8.8%+10.2%+11.5%
Q1 2017+4.2%+6.0%+7.8%
Q4 2016+5.8%+5.0%+19.8%
Q3 2016+8.6%+11.2%+31.7%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.8%-0.3%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q4 2015+12.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015+1.2%
Q4 2014+5.2%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-4.2%
Q1 2014+6.9%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+11.3%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013+13.4%
Q4 2012+5.4%
Q3 2012+12.3%
Q2 2012+21.9%
Q1 2012+10.3%
Q4 2011-3.0%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q3 2010-3.0%
Q2 2010+8.8%
Q2 2011+8.8%
Q1 2010+5.3%
Q4 2010+5.3%
Q1 2011+5.3%

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