NASDAQ$LOPE

Grand Canyon Education Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grand Canyon Education reported an increase in revenue and net income for Q1 2023, but a decrease in operating income and adjusted EBITDA.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. reported financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2023. Service revenue increased by 2.5% to $250.1 million, driven by growth in GCU traditional campus enrollments. Net income rose by 2.6% to $59.6 million, while diluted net income per share was $1.94. However, operating income decreased to $74.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA fell by 4.2% to $86.6 million.

  • Service revenue increased by 2.5% to $250.1 million due to growth in GCU traditional campus enrollments.
  • Partner enrollments totaled 112,588, including 4,315 at off-campus sites.
  • Operating income decreased to $74.5 million, with an operating margin of 29.8%.
  • Net income increased by 2.6% to $59.6 million, and diluted net income per share was $1.94.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$250M

Previous: $244M+2.5%
EPS (adj)

$2.00

Previous: $1.72+16.3%
University Partner Enrollments

112.6K

Previous: 110.2K+2.2%
Off-Campus Enrollments

4.3K

Previous: 4.5K-4.0%
Free Cash Flow

$59.6M

Previous: $58.1M+2.6%
Net Income

$59.6M

Previous: $58.1M+2.6%
Operating Income

$74.5M

Previous: $77.5M-3.9%
Gross Profit

$139M

Previous: -$5M+2885.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$105M

Previous: $202M-48.0%
Total Assets

$874M

Previous: $918M-4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Grand Canyon Education · Revenue · Quarterly

$250M

Q1 2023+2.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Grand Canyon Education · $250M total across 1 segment · Q1 2023

  • Service Revenue
    $250M+2.5%

Forward guidance

Grand Canyon Education provided outlook for Q2, Q3, Q4 and Full Year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Service revenue of between $206.0 million and $209.0 million for Q2 2023.
  • Operating margin of between 14.8% and 15.7% for Q2 2023.
  • Diluted EPS of between $0.79 and $0.85 for Q2 2023.
  • Service revenue of between $940.1 million and $965.1 million for full year 2023.
  • Diluted EPS between $5.94 and $6.49 for full year 2023.

Headwinds

  • Operating margin of between 15.8% and 18.1% for Q3 2023.
  • Diluted EPS of between $0.88 and $1.04 for Q3 2023.
  • Service revenue of between $268.5 million and $283.0 million for Q4 2023.
  • Operating margin of between 33.5% and 36.4% for Q4 2023.
  • Effective tax rate of 23.8% for full year 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

42 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-2.7%-11.4%
Q4 2025-7.9%-6.5%-3.2%
Q3 2025-6.2%-5.2%-14.0%
Q1 2025+4.5%+5.5%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.8%-3.6%-8.3%
Q3 2024+17.0%+22.0%+20.1%
Q2 2024-3.5%-2.6%-3.5%
Q1 2024+6.3%+7.6%+4.2%
Q4 2023+0.5%-1.4%-0.3%
Q3 2023+14.2%+13.8%+14.7%
Q2 2023+5.5%+1.5%+9.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-6.6%-12.7%
Q4 2022+1.6%+3.0%-5.9%
Q3 2022+16.4%+17.3%+29.5%
Q2 2022-12.2%-14.0%-15.9%
Q1 2022+3.9%-3.0%-6.5%
Q4 2021+2.4%+5.8%+21.9%
Q3 2021-9.4%-9.5%-14.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2021-16.0%-11.7%-16.3%
Q4 2020+2.1%+2.7%+5.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2020+12.0%+10.3%+3.0%
Q1 2020+7.2%+9.2%+16.5%
Q4 2019-4.3%-6.2%-29.2%
Q3 2019-4.1%-4.1%-3.5%
Q2 2019+5.7%+8.5%-0.1%
Q1 2019-4.2%-1.8%+7.1%
Q4 2018+21.7%+19.8%+17.5%
Q3 2018-0.9%-2.8%-12.0%
Q2 2018-3.2%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2018+6.9%+5.4%+9.9%
Q4 2017+9.0%+10.6%+12.9%
Q3 2017-0.7%-0.7%+4.0%
Q2 2017+8.8%+10.2%+11.5%
Q1 2017+4.2%+6.0%+7.8%
Q4 2016+5.8%+5.0%+19.8%
Q3 2016+8.6%+11.2%+31.7%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.8%-0.3%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q4 2015+12.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015+1.2%
Q4 2014+5.2%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-4.2%
Q1 2014+6.9%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+11.3%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013+13.4%
Q4 2012+5.4%
Q3 2012+12.3%
Q2 2012+21.9%
Q1 2012+10.3%
Q4 2011-3.0%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q3 2010-3.0%
Q2 2010+8.8%
Q2 2011+8.8%
Q1 2010+5.3%
Q4 2010+5.3%
Q1 2011+5.3%

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