NASDAQ$LOPE

Grand Canyon Education Inc. · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Second quarter results were reported with revenue and EPS increasing year-over-year.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. reported an increase in service revenue to $227.5 million for the three months ended June 30, 2024, an 8.0% increase compared to the same period in 2023. The increase was driven by higher GCU enrollments and increased university partner enrollments at off-campus sites. Net income increased to $34.9 million, with diluted net income per share at $1.19.

  • Service revenue increased by 8.0% to $227.5 million compared to Q2 2023.
  • Partner enrollments totaled 106,307 at June 30, 2024, compared to 99,526 at June 30, 2023.
  • Operating income increased to $42.7 million, with an operating margin of 18.8%.
  • Net income increased 20.4% to $34.9 million, with diluted net income per share at $1.19.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$227M

Previous: $211M+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.27

Previous: $1.01+25.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.05M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$34.9M

Previous: $29M+20.4%
Net Income

$34.9M

Previous: $29M+20.4%
Operating Income

$42.7M

Previous: $35.4M+20.5%
Gross Profit

$106M

Previous: $99.2M+7.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Grand Canyon Education · Revenue · Quarterly

$227M

Q2 2024+8%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Grand Canyon Education · $222M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Service Revenue
    $222M+6.3%

Forward guidance

Grand Canyon Education provided guidance for Q3 2024, Q4 2024 and Full Year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Service revenue of between $238.0 million and $240.5 million for Q3 2024.
  • Operating margin of between 19.7% and 20.4% for Q3 2024.
  • Diluted EPS of between $1.37 and $1.43 for Q3 2024.
  • Service revenue of between $286.5 million and $291.5 million for Q4 2024.
  • Operating margin of between 34.7% and 35.7% for Q4 2024.

Headwinds

  • Effective tax rate of 20.8% for Q3 2024.
  • 29.1 million diluted shares for Q3 2024.
  • Effective tax rate of 21.7% for Q4 2024.
  • Diluted EPS of between $2.78 and $2.91 for Q4 2024.
  • 28.9 million diluted shares for Q4 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

42 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-2.7%-11.4%
Q4 2025-7.9%-6.5%-3.2%
Q3 2025-6.2%-5.2%-14.0%
Q1 2025+4.5%+5.5%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.8%-3.6%-8.3%
Q3 2024+17.0%+22.0%+20.1%
Q2 2024-3.5%-2.6%-3.5%
Q1 2024+6.3%+7.6%+4.2%
Q4 2023+0.5%-1.4%-0.3%
Q3 2023+14.2%+13.8%+14.7%
Q2 2023+5.5%+1.5%+9.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-6.6%-12.7%
Q4 2022+1.6%+3.0%-5.9%
Q3 2022+16.4%+17.3%+29.5%
Q2 2022-12.2%-14.0%-15.9%
Q1 2022+3.9%-3.0%-6.5%
Q4 2021+2.4%+5.8%+21.9%
Q3 2021-9.4%-9.5%-14.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2021-16.0%-11.7%-16.3%
Q4 2020+2.1%+2.7%+5.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2020+12.0%+10.3%+3.0%
Q1 2020+7.2%+9.2%+16.5%
Q4 2019-4.3%-6.2%-29.2%
Q3 2019-4.1%-4.1%-3.5%
Q2 2019+5.7%+8.5%-0.1%
Q1 2019-4.2%-1.8%+7.1%
Q4 2018+21.7%+19.8%+17.5%
Q3 2018-0.9%-2.8%-12.0%
Q2 2018-3.2%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2018+6.9%+5.4%+9.9%
Q4 2017+9.0%+10.6%+12.9%
Q3 2017-0.7%-0.7%+4.0%
Q2 2017+8.8%+10.2%+11.5%
Q1 2017+4.2%+6.0%+7.8%
Q4 2016+5.8%+5.0%+19.8%
Q3 2016+8.6%+11.2%+31.7%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.8%-0.3%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q4 2015+12.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015+1.2%
Q4 2014+5.2%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-4.2%
Q1 2014+6.9%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+11.3%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013+13.4%
Q4 2012+5.4%
Q3 2012+12.3%
Q2 2012+21.9%
Q1 2012+10.3%
Q4 2011-3.0%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q3 2010-3.0%
Q2 2010+8.8%
Q2 2011+8.8%
Q1 2010+5.3%
Q4 2010+5.3%
Q1 2011+5.3%

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