NASDAQ$LOPE

Grand Canyon Education Inc. · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grand Canyon Education's first quarter results for 2021 were reported.

Grand Canyon Education reported a strong first quarter in 2021, with service revenue increasing to $236.9 million and net income rising to $78.1 million. Partner enrollments grew by 7.2%, reflecting continued demand for GCE's services. The company is optimistic about its future prospects and has provided a positive outlook for the remainder of the year.

  • Service revenue increased by 6.9% year over year to $236.9 million, driven by a 7.2% increase in university partner enrollments.
  • Partner enrollments reached 115,390, with Grand Canyon University enrollments growing by 7.2% and other university partner enrollments increasing by 8.4%.
  • Operating income rose to $84.2 million, with an operating margin of 35.5%.
  • Net income increased by 9.4% to $78.1 million, with diluted net income per share at $1.69.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$237M

Previous: $222M+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.72

Previous: $1.53+12.4%
University Partner Enrollments

115.4K

Previous: 4.0K+2785.5%
Free Cash Flow

$78.1M

Previous: $71.4M+9.4%
Net Income

$78.1M

Previous: $71.4M+9.4%
Operating Income

$84.2M

Previous: $80.8M+4.2%
Gross Profit

$144M

Previous: $135M+6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$226M

Previous: $132M+70.4%
Total Assets

$1.89B

Previous: $1.73B+8.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Grand Canyon Education · Revenue · Quarterly

$237M

Q1 2021+6.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Grand Canyon Education · $237M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Service Revenue
    $237M+6.9%

Forward guidance

Grand Canyon Education provided its outlook for the second, third, and fourth quarters of 2021, as well as the full year.

Tailwinds

  • Q2 2021: Service revenue of $202.0 million
  • Q2 2021: As Adjusted Operating Margin 25.6%
  • Q2 2021: As Adjusted Diluted EPS of $1.09 using 45.8 million diluted shares
  • Full Year 2021: Service revenue of $919.9 million
  • Full Year 2021: As Adjusted Diluted EPS of $6.19 using 45.6 million diluted shares

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

42 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-2.7%-11.4%
Q4 2025-7.9%-6.5%-3.2%
Q3 2025-6.2%-5.2%-14.0%
Q1 2025+4.5%+5.5%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.8%-3.6%-8.3%
Q3 2024+17.0%+22.0%+20.1%
Q2 2024-3.5%-2.6%-3.5%
Q1 2024+6.3%+7.6%+4.2%
Q4 2023+0.5%-1.4%-0.3%
Q3 2023+14.2%+13.8%+14.7%
Q2 2023+5.5%+1.5%+9.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-6.6%-12.7%
Q4 2022+1.6%+3.0%-5.9%
Q3 2022+16.4%+17.3%+29.5%
Q2 2022-12.2%-14.0%-15.9%
Q1 2022+3.9%-3.0%-6.5%
Q4 2021+2.4%+5.8%+21.9%
Q3 2021-9.4%-9.5%-14.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2021-16.0%-11.7%-16.3%
Q4 2020+2.1%+2.7%+5.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2020+12.0%+10.3%+3.0%
Q1 2020+7.2%+9.2%+16.5%
Q4 2019-4.3%-6.2%-29.2%
Q3 2019-4.1%-4.1%-3.5%
Q2 2019+5.7%+8.5%-0.1%
Q1 2019-4.2%-1.8%+7.1%
Q4 2018+21.7%+19.8%+17.5%
Q3 2018-0.9%-2.8%-12.0%
Q2 2018-3.2%-2.7%-0.8%
Q1 2018+6.9%+5.4%+9.9%
Q4 2017+9.0%+10.6%+12.9%
Q3 2017-0.7%-0.7%+4.0%
Q2 2017+8.8%+10.2%+11.5%
Q1 2017+4.2%+6.0%+7.8%
Q4 2016+5.8%+5.0%+19.8%
Q3 2016+8.6%+11.2%+31.7%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.8%-0.3%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q4 2015+12.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015+1.2%
Q4 2014+5.2%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-4.2%
Q1 2014+6.9%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+11.3%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013+13.4%
Q4 2012+5.4%
Q3 2012+12.3%
Q2 2012+21.9%
Q1 2012+10.3%
Q4 2011-3.0%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q3 2010-3.0%
Q2 2010+8.8%
Q2 2011+8.8%
Q1 2010+5.3%
Q4 2010+5.3%
Q1 2011+5.3%

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