NASDAQ$LGIH

LGI Homes Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LGI Homes reported record results driven by increased home closings and average sales price.

LGI Homes reported a record-breaking fourth quarter and full year in 2020. In the fourth quarter, home closings increased by 35.5% to 3,408 homes, and home sales revenues increased by 48.2% to $897.4 million. Net income increased by 110.3% to $136.4 million, or $5.34 diluted EPS.

  • Net income increased 110.3% to $136.4 million, or $5.34 Diluted EPS.
  • Home Sales Revenues increased 48.2% to $897.4 million.
  • Home Closings increased 35.5% to 3,408 homes.
  • Average Sales Price Per Home Closed increased 9.3% to $263,321.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$897M

Previous: $606M+48.2%
EPS (adj)

$5.18

Previous: $2.52+105.6%
Total Home Closings

3.4K

Previous: 2.5K+35.5%
Average Sales Price per Home Closed

$263K

Previous: $241K+9.3%
Net Income

$136M

Previous: $64.9M+110.3%
Operating Income

$166M

Previous: $84M+97.1%
Gross Profit

$243M

Previous: $142M+71.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$35.9M

Previous: $38.3M-6.3%
Total Assets

$1.83B

Previous: $1.67B+9.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.13M

Previous: $2.36M+117.3%

Revenue & EPS history

LGI Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$897M

Q4 2020+48.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following guidance for the full year 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings will be between 9,200 and 9,800
  • Active selling communities at the end of 2021 will be between 112 and 120
  • Average sales price per home closed will be between $260,000 and $270,000
  • Gross margin as a percentage of home sales revenues will be between 24.0% and 26.0%
  • Adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) as a percentage of home sales revenues will be between 26.0% and 28.0% with capitalized interest accounting for substantially all the difference between gross margin and adjusted gross margin

Headwinds

  • SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues will be between 10.3% and 10.8%
  • Effective tax rate for 2021 will be between 21.5% and 22.5%
  • This outlook assumes that general economic conditions, including interest rates and mortgage availability, in the remainder of 2021 are similar to those experienced to date in 2021
  • Average sales price per home closed, construction costs, availability of land, land development costs and overall absorption rates in the remainder of 2021 are consistent with the Company’s recent experience.
  • Governmental regulations relating to land development, home construction and COVID-19

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

25 / 49 earnings

Positive

+27.0%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-16.7%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.7%+7.1%+7.5%
Q4 2025-4.4%-8.8%-39.1%
Q3 2025+9.3%+14.7%+24.3%
Q1 2025-7.8%-7.0%-14.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+5.4%+2.1%
Q2 2024+9.6%+1.5%+1.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%+0.7%-0.6%
Q4 2023-9.7%-10.7%-11.2%
Q3 2023+12.6%+25.0%+32.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-2.9%-11.3%
Q1 2023-1.6%-2.6%-3.1%
Q4 2022-8.7%-8.0%-2.7%
Q3 2022-9.4%-9.5%+11.1%
Q2 2022-6.6%-5.4%-18.9%
Q1 2022+6.9%-0.2%+1.0%
Q4 2021+5.4%+2.3%+1.4%
Q3 2021-10.2%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2021-8.2%-8.5%-5.7%
Q1 2021+0.0%+6.6%-0.3%
Q4 2020+0.7%-5.1%+25.8%
Q3 2020+8.1%+4.8%-4.3%
Q2 2020-1.3%-5.2%-2.8%
Q1 2020+6.7%+13.9%+36.4%
Q4 2019-16.7%-19.0%-45.0%
Q3 2019-1.1%-6.9%-1.1%
Q2 2019+9.7%+10.8%+21.4%
Q1 2019-5.4%-2.7%+2.3%
Q4 2018-3.5%-4.7%-1.2%
Q3 2018-12.0%-8.9%-2.6%
Q2 2018+13.3%+16.9%+5.9%
Q1 2018-16.7%-18.0%-21.3%
Q4 2017-14.9%-14.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017+1.5%+2.0%+13.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%-4.1%-8.1%
Q1 2017+10.7%+9.3%+24.6%
Q4 2016+13.7%+11.2%+9.2%
Q3 2016+0.5%-0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2016+6.9%+5.7%+20.4%
Q1 2016-10.2%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015+27.0%
Q1 2015+2.4%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014+11.6%
Q4 2013-7.5%
Q3 2013+5.4%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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