NASDAQ$LGIH

LGI Homes Inc. · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LGI Homes reported record setting profitability despite decreased home sales revenues and home closings, but increased average sales price.

LGI Homes announced strong Q2 2022 results with record profitability. Net income increased by 4.4% to $123.4 million, driven by a 28.7% increase in average sales price to $356,719 and a 500 basis point improvement in gross margin to 32.0%. Despite a decrease in home sales revenues and home closings, the company achieved record pre-tax income and net income. Updated full year guidance reflects adjustments for recent interest rate hikes and macro events.

  • Net income increased 4.4% to $123.4 million, or $5.24 Basic EPS and $5.20 Diluted EPS.
  • Home Sales Revenues decreased 8.6% to $723.1 million.
  • Home Closings decreased 29.0% to 2,027 homes closed.
  • Average Sales Price increased 28.7% to $356,719.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$723M

Previous: $792M-8.6%
EPS (adj)

$5.20

Previous: $4.73+9.9%
Total Home Closings

2.0K

Previous: 2.9K-29.0%
Average Sales Price per Home Closed

$357K

Previous: $277K+28.7%
Free Cash Flow

$123M

Previous: $118M+4.4%
Net Income

$123M

Previous: $118M+4.4%
Operating Income

$159M

Previous: $146M+8.9%
Gross Profit

$231M

Previous: $214M+8.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$42M

Previous: $112M-62.4%
Total Assets

$2.87B

Previous: $2.06B+39.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.55M

Previous: $3.4M+4.4%

Revenue & EPS history

LGI Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$723M

Q2 2022-8.6%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

LGI Homes updated its full year 2022 guidance to reflect recent interest rate hikes and macro events. The company now expects to close between 7,500 and 8,300 homes at an average sales price between $345,000 and $360,000. SG&A as a percentage of revenue is expected to range between 10.0% and 11.0%, and the company anticipates ending the year with 100 to 110 active communities. Gross margins are projected to be between 27.0% and 29.0%, adjusted gross margins between 28.5% and 30.5%, and an effective tax rate between 23.5% and 24.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings between 7,500 and 8,300
  • Active selling communities at the end of 2022 between 100 and 110
  • Average sales price per home closed between $345,000 and $360,000
  • Gross margin as a percentage of home sales revenue between 27.0% and 29.0%
  • Effective tax rate between 23.5% and 24.5%

Headwinds

  • Homes are more expensive
  • Consumer prices are up
  • Mortgage rates have nearly doubled
  • Uncertainty due to interest rate hikes
  • Macro events

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

25 / 49 earnings

Positive

+27.0%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-16.7%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.7%+7.1%+7.5%
Q4 2025-4.4%-8.8%-39.1%
Q3 2025+9.3%+14.7%+24.3%
Q1 2025-7.8%-7.0%-14.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+5.4%+2.1%
Q2 2024+9.6%+1.5%+1.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%+0.7%-0.6%
Q4 2023-9.7%-10.7%-11.2%
Q3 2023+12.6%+25.0%+32.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-2.9%-11.3%
Q1 2023-1.6%-2.6%-3.1%
Q4 2022-8.7%-8.0%-2.7%
Q3 2022-9.4%-9.5%+11.1%
Q2 2022-6.6%-5.4%-18.9%
Q1 2022+6.9%-0.2%+1.0%
Q4 2021+5.4%+2.3%+1.4%
Q3 2021-10.2%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2021-8.2%-8.5%-5.7%
Q1 2021+0.0%+6.6%-0.3%
Q4 2020+0.7%-5.1%+25.8%
Q3 2020+8.1%+4.8%-4.3%
Q2 2020-1.3%-5.2%-2.8%
Q1 2020+6.7%+13.9%+36.4%
Q4 2019-16.7%-19.0%-45.0%
Q3 2019-1.1%-6.9%-1.1%
Q2 2019+9.7%+10.8%+21.4%
Q1 2019-5.4%-2.7%+2.3%
Q4 2018-3.5%-4.7%-1.2%
Q3 2018-12.0%-8.9%-2.6%
Q2 2018+13.3%+16.9%+5.9%
Q1 2018-16.7%-18.0%-21.3%
Q4 2017-14.9%-14.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017+1.5%+2.0%+13.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%-4.1%-8.1%
Q1 2017+10.7%+9.3%+24.6%
Q4 2016+13.7%+11.2%+9.2%
Q3 2016+0.5%-0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2016+6.9%+5.7%+20.4%
Q1 2016-10.2%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015+27.0%
Q1 2015+2.4%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014+11.6%
Q4 2013-7.5%
Q3 2013+5.4%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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