NASDAQ$LGIH

LGI Homes Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LGI Homes reported strong Q3 2023 results, driven by the success of operational initiatives and the resilience of its business model.

LGI Homes reported a net income of $67.0 million, or $2.85 per basic share, on home sales revenues of $617.5 million for the third quarter of 2023. Home closings were 1,751 with an average sales price of $352,678. The company's gross margin was 25.7%, and adjusted gross margin was 27.2%.

  • Net income was $67.0 million, or $2.85 Basic EPS and $2.84 Diluted EPS.
  • Home sales revenues reached $617.5 million.
  • The company closed 1,751 homes.
  • Average sales price per home closed was $352,678.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$618M

Previous: $547M+12.9%
EPS (adj)

$2.84

Previous: $3.85-26.2%
Total Home Closings

1.8K

Previous: 1.5K+13.2%
Average Sales Price per Home Closed

$353K

Previous: $354K-0.3%
Capital Expenditures

$577K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$67M

Previous: $90.4M-25.8%
Net Income

$67M

Previous: $90.4M-25.8%
Operating Income

$82.3M

Previous: $94.6M-13.0%
Gross Profit

$159M

Previous: $156M+1.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$47M

Previous: $52.7M-10.8%
Total Assets

$3.34B

Previous: $3.11B+7.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.12M

Previous: $1.52M+106.0%

Revenue & EPS history

LGI Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$618M

Q3 2023+12.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following updates to its guidance for the full year 2023. The Company now expects home closings between 6,700 and 7,000, active selling communities at the end of 2023 between 115 and 125, average sales price per home closed between $350,000 and $355,000, gross margin as a percentage of home sales revenues between 23.0% and 23.5%, adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) as a percentage of home sales revenues between 24.5% and 25.0% with capitalized interest accounting for the majority of the difference between gross margin and adjusted gross margin, SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues of approximately 13.0%, and effective tax rate of approximately 24.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings between 6,700 and 7,000
  • Active selling communities at the end of 2023 between 115 and 125
  • Average sales price per home closed between $350,000 and $355,000
  • Gross margin as a percentage of home sales revenues between 23.0% and 23.5%
  • Adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) as a percentage of home sales revenues between 24.5% and 25.0%

Headwinds

  • Guidance assumes general economic conditions, including input costs, materials, product and labor availability, interest rates and mortgage availability, in the remainder of 2023 are similar to those experienced so far in the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Guidance assumes that construction costs, availability of land and land development costs in the remainder of 2023 are consistent with the Company’s recent experience.
  • Guidance assumes that governmental regulations relating to land development and home construction are similar to those currently in place.
  • Volatile rate movements
  • Market uncertainty

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

25 / 49 earnings

Positive

+27.0%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-16.7%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.7%+7.1%+7.5%
Q4 2025-4.4%-8.8%-39.1%
Q3 2025+9.3%+14.7%+24.3%
Q1 2025-7.8%-7.0%-14.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+5.4%+2.1%
Q2 2024+9.6%+1.5%+1.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%+0.7%-0.6%
Q4 2023-9.7%-10.7%-11.2%
Q3 2023+12.6%+25.0%+32.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-2.9%-11.3%
Q1 2023-1.6%-2.6%-3.1%
Q4 2022-8.7%-8.0%-2.7%
Q3 2022-9.4%-9.5%+11.1%
Q2 2022-6.6%-5.4%-18.9%
Q1 2022+6.9%-0.2%+1.0%
Q4 2021+5.4%+2.3%+1.4%
Q3 2021-10.2%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2021-8.2%-8.5%-5.7%
Q1 2021+0.0%+6.6%-0.3%
Q4 2020+0.7%-5.1%+25.8%
Q3 2020+8.1%+4.8%-4.3%
Q2 2020-1.3%-5.2%-2.8%
Q1 2020+6.7%+13.9%+36.4%
Q4 2019-16.7%-19.0%-45.0%
Q3 2019-1.1%-6.9%-1.1%
Q2 2019+9.7%+10.8%+21.4%
Q1 2019-5.4%-2.7%+2.3%
Q4 2018-3.5%-4.7%-1.2%
Q3 2018-12.0%-8.9%-2.6%
Q2 2018+13.3%+16.9%+5.9%
Q1 2018-16.7%-18.0%-21.3%
Q4 2017-14.9%-14.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017+1.5%+2.0%+13.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%-4.1%-8.1%
Q1 2017+10.7%+9.3%+24.6%
Q4 2016+13.7%+11.2%+9.2%
Q3 2016+0.5%-0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2016+6.9%+5.7%+20.4%
Q1 2016-10.2%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015+27.0%
Q1 2015+2.4%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014+11.6%
Q4 2013-7.5%
Q3 2013+5.4%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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