NASDAQ$LGIH

LGI Homes Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LGI Homes reported a decrease in net income but delivered profitability records through cost controls and pricing actions.

LGI Homes announced its Q3 2022 financial results, reporting a decrease in net income by 10.1% to $90.4 million, with home sales revenues decreasing by 27.2% to $547.1 million. However, the company achieved profitability records, including a gross margin of 28.5% and an adjusted gross margin of 29.5%.

  • Net Income decreased 10.1% to $90.4 million, or $3.88 Basic EPS and $3.85 Diluted EPS.
  • Home Sales Revenues decreased 27.2% to $547.1 million.
  • Home Closings decreased 38.1% to 1,547 homes closed.
  • Average Sales Price Per Home Closed increased 17.6% to $353,635.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$547M

Previous: $752M-27.2%
EPS (adj)

$3.85

Previous: $4.05-4.9%
Total Home Closings

1.5K

Previous: 2.5K-38.1%
Average Sales Price per Home Closed

$354K

Previous: $301K+17.6%
Ending Backlog Homes

1.3K

No prior period
Ending Backlog Value

$428M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$90.4M

Previous: $101M-10.1%
Net Income

$90.4M

Previous: $101M-10.1%
Operating Income

$94.6M

Previous: $138M-31.4%
Gross Profit

$156M

Previous: $202M-23.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$52.7M

Previous: $46.7M+12.7%
Total Assets

$3.11B

Previous: $2.15B+44.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.52M

Previous: $3.35M-54.8%

Revenue & EPS history

LGI Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$547M

Q3 2022-27.2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company now expects to close between 6,700 and 7,100 homes at an average sales price between $340,000 and $350,000 and to end the year with between 95 and 100 active communities.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings between 6,700 and 7,100
  • Active selling communities at the end of 2022 between 95 and 100
  • Average sales price per home closed between $340,000 and $350,000
  • Gross margin as a percentage of home sales revenues between 27.7% and 28.7%
  • Adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) as a percentage of home sales revenues between 29.0% and 30.0%

Headwinds

  • SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues between 11.0% and 12.0%
  • Effective tax rate between 21.0% and 22.0%
  • General economic conditions, including input costs, materials, product and labor availability, mortgage rates and availability
  • Construction costs, availability of land, and land development costs in the remainder of 2022
  • Governmental regulations relating to land development, home construction and COVID-19

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

25 / 49 earnings

Positive

+27.0%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-16.7%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.7%+7.1%+7.5%
Q4 2025-4.4%-8.8%-39.1%
Q3 2025+9.3%+14.7%+24.3%
Q1 2025-7.8%-7.0%-14.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+5.4%+2.1%
Q2 2024+9.6%+1.5%+1.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%+0.7%-0.6%
Q4 2023-9.7%-10.7%-11.2%
Q3 2023+12.6%+25.0%+32.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-2.9%-11.3%
Q1 2023-1.6%-2.6%-3.1%
Q4 2022-8.7%-8.0%-2.7%
Q3 2022-9.4%-9.5%+11.1%
Q2 2022-6.6%-5.4%-18.9%
Q1 2022+6.9%-0.2%+1.0%
Q4 2021+5.4%+2.3%+1.4%
Q3 2021-10.2%-10.5%-0.7%
Q2 2021-8.2%-8.5%-5.7%
Q1 2021+0.0%+6.6%-0.3%
Q4 2020+0.7%-5.1%+25.8%
Q3 2020+8.1%+4.8%-4.3%
Q2 2020-1.3%-5.2%-2.8%
Q1 2020+6.7%+13.9%+36.4%
Q4 2019-16.7%-19.0%-45.0%
Q3 2019-1.1%-6.9%-1.1%
Q2 2019+9.7%+10.8%+21.4%
Q1 2019-5.4%-2.7%+2.3%
Q4 2018-3.5%-4.7%-1.2%
Q3 2018-12.0%-8.9%-2.6%
Q2 2018+13.3%+16.9%+5.9%
Q1 2018-16.7%-18.0%-21.3%
Q4 2017-14.9%-14.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017+1.5%+2.0%+13.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%-4.1%-8.1%
Q1 2017+10.7%+9.3%+24.6%
Q4 2016+13.7%+11.2%+9.2%
Q3 2016+0.5%-0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2016+6.9%+5.7%+20.4%
Q1 2016-10.2%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015+27.0%
Q1 2015+2.4%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014+11.6%
Q4 2013-7.5%
Q3 2013+5.4%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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