NASDAQ$FWRD

Forward Air Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported all-time quarterly record revenue, net income, and net income per diluted share.

Forward Air Corporation reported record fourth-quarter results with revenue reaching an all-time high, driven by solid growth strategies and strong demand. Revenue increased by 31%, exceeding the high end of the guidance range. Net income per diluted share also exceeded expectations, marking the best quarterly financial performance in the company's history.

  • Reported record revenue, net income, and net income per diluted share for the fourth quarter.
  • Less-than-truckload line of business reported record levels in weight per shipment and revenue per shipment.
  • Revenue growth of 31% exceeded the high end of the guidance range.
  • Net income per diluted share of $1.40 exceeded the high end of the guidance range.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$460M

Previous: $350M+31.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.40

Previous: $0.55+154.5%
Drayage Revenue per Shipment

$777.00

Previous: $583.00+33.3%
Capital Expenditures

$16.1M

Previous: $3.83M+320.3%
Free Cash Flow

$26.4M

Previous: $11.6M+126.4%
Net Income

$38.2M

Previous: $15.1M+152.4%
Operating Income

$52M

Previous: $20.7M+150.8%
Gross Profit

$112M

Previous: $65.6M+71.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$37.3M

Previous: $40.3M-7.3%
Total Assets

$1.12B

Previous: $1.05B+6.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.73M

Previous: $3.18M-14.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Forward Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$460M

Q4 2021+31.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forward Air · $460M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Expedited Freight
    $377M+25.8%
  • Intermodal
    $83.4M+61.1%

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2022, Forward Air expects year-over-year revenue growth of 18% to 22% and net income per diluted share to be between $1.15 to $1.19.

Tailwinds

  • Expects first quarter year-over-year revenue growth of 18% to 22%.
  • Expects net income per diluted share to be between $1.15 to $1.19.
  • Volumes expected to exceed the same period of 2021.
  • Revenue per shipment increased 54.8% in January.
  • Weight per shipment increased 33.0% in January.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

37 / 67 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.1%-11.3%+24.3%
Q4 2025+4.6%+0.0%-32.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+16.1%+41.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%+9.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024-10.7%-14.0%-19.5%
Q3 2024+6.6%+3.4%+0.2%
Q2 2024+27.5%+15.9%+49.5%
Q1 2024-19.8%-22.7%-1.1%
Q4 2023-7.5%-20.8%-22.5%
Q3 2023-8.5%-5.9%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.3%-39.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-7.8%-7.8%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.1%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.9%+9.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+10.0%+7.2%
Q1 2022+6.7%+8.1%+2.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-5.5%-5.7%
Q3 2021+3.2%+11.4%+7.6%
Q2 2021+2.0%+2.9%+2.8%
Q1 2021+1.1%+11.8%+11.0%
Q4 2020+1.6%+5.8%+17.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+11.0%+23.6%
Q2 2020-1.6%+2.8%+11.8%
Q1 2020-9.3%-11.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019-4.7%-7.1%-15.6%
Q3 2019+6.8%+8.2%+5.6%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.4%-5.0%
Q1 2019-1.5%-6.5%-13.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.4%-1.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+7.6%+10.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+3.1%+14.1%
Q4 2017-6.0%-4.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017-1.1%-2.1%-6.1%
Q2 2017-6.7%-4.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2016+6.1%+6.8%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%-0.7%+16.4%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.4%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.3%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-5.1%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+6.1%
Q3 2014-4.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013-5.2%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+6.4%
Q4 2008+2.4%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q3 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2009+2.3%

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