NASDAQ$FWRD

Forward Air Corporation · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Forward Air's Q2 2023 performance was impacted by weaker-than-expected demand in the intermodal and truckload brokerage services, but saw positive momentum in less-than-truckload services.

Forward Air Corporation reported a decline in revenue and net income for Q2 2023 due to challenging market conditions in intermodal and truckload brokerage. However, the company saw positive momentum in less-than-truckload services and is focused on revenue growth strategies and network expansion.

  • Weaker demand in intermodal and truckload brokerage services impacted Q2 results.
  • Net income per diluted share was $0.76, and adjusted net income per diluted share was $0.91, below the guidance range.
  • Less-than-truckload service showed positive momentum with sequential improvement in pounds per day.
  • On-time performance was 99%, and the cargo claims ratio was 0.1%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$402M

Previous: $515M-21.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.91

Previous: $2.04-55.4%
Drayage Revenue per Shipment

$853.00

Previous: $979.00-12.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.8M

Previous: -$18.7M+42.2%
Free Cash Flow

$9.17M

Previous: $36.8M-75.1%
Net Income

$20M

Previous: $55.4M-64.0%
Operating Income

$30.2M

Previous: $75.5M-60.0%
Gross Profit

$221M

Previous: $276M-20.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$18.3M

Previous: $47.4M-61.4%
Total Assets

$1.18B

Previous: $1.2B-1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.4M

Previous: $3.31M+2.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Forward Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$402M

Q2 2023-21.9%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forward Air · $402M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Expedited Freight
    $338M-17.3%
  • Intermodal
    $64.3M-39.6%

Forward guidance

The Company expects year-over-year revenue to decline 11% to 21% and adjusted net income per diluted share in the range of $1.12 to $1.16 for Q3 2023.

Headwinds

  • Year-over-year revenue is expected to decline 11% to 21%.
  • Adjusted net income per diluted share is expected to be in the range of $1.12 to $1.16, compared to $1.93 in Q3 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

37 / 67 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.1%-11.3%+24.3%
Q4 2025+4.6%+0.0%-32.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+16.1%+41.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%+9.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024-10.7%-14.0%-19.5%
Q3 2024+6.6%+3.4%+0.2%
Q2 2024+27.5%+15.9%+49.5%
Q1 2024-19.8%-22.7%-1.1%
Q4 2023-7.5%-20.8%-22.5%
Q3 2023-8.5%-5.9%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.3%-39.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-7.8%-7.8%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.1%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.9%+9.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+10.0%+7.2%
Q1 2022+6.7%+8.1%+2.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-5.5%-5.7%
Q3 2021+3.2%+11.4%+7.6%
Q2 2021+2.0%+2.9%+2.8%
Q1 2021+1.1%+11.8%+11.0%
Q4 2020+1.6%+5.8%+17.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+11.0%+23.6%
Q2 2020-1.6%+2.8%+11.8%
Q1 2020-9.3%-11.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019-4.7%-7.1%-15.6%
Q3 2019+6.8%+8.2%+5.6%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.4%-5.0%
Q1 2019-1.5%-6.5%-13.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.4%-1.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+7.6%+10.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+3.1%+14.1%
Q4 2017-6.0%-4.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017-1.1%-2.1%-6.1%
Q2 2017-6.7%-4.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2016+6.1%+6.8%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%-0.7%+16.4%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.4%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.3%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-5.1%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+6.1%
Q3 2014-4.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013-5.2%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+6.4%
Q4 2008+2.4%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q3 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2009+2.3%

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