NASDAQ$FWRD

Forward Air Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue despite cyber attack and earn-out liability adjustment.

Forward Air Corporation reported record fourth-quarter revenue driven by growth strategies, despite a temporary interruption of operations due to a cyber attack and an increase to an earn-out liability related to a prior acquisition. Excluding these impacts, the company would have exceeded the high end of its net income per diluted share guidance range.

  • Record fourth quarter revenue achieved.
  • Agreement in principle reached for the sale of Pool Distribution.
  • Acquisition of Proficient Transport announced to strengthen Intermodal Drayage offering.
  • Organic growth continued into the first quarter with LTL tonnage up 10.9% and LTL shipments up 14.4% year-over-year through January.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$350M

Previous: $382M-8.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: $0.85-35.3%
Drayage Revenue per Shipment

$583.00

Previous: $603.00-3.3%
Capital Expenditures

$3.83M

Previous: $1.11M+245.9%
Free Cash Flow

$11.6M

Previous: $41.4M-71.9%
Net Income

$15.1M

Previous: $24.2M-37.4%
Operating Income

$20.7M

Previous: $32.9M-36.9%
Gross Profit

$65.6M

Previous: $75.3M-12.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$40.3M

Previous: $64.7M-37.8%
Total Assets

$1.05B

Previous: $991M+5.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.18M

Previous: $2.9M+9.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Forward Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$350M

Q4 2020-8.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forward Air · $351M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Expedited Freight
    $300M+14.2%
  • Intermodal
    $51.8M-5.4%

Forward guidance

The Company expects first quarter year-over-year revenue growth of 11% to 15%. They expect net income per diluted share to be between $0.55 to $0.59, which includes approximately $0.07 of professional fees related to cyber security and shareholder engagement activities.

Tailwinds

  • Expect first quarter year-over-year revenue growth of 11% to 15%.
  • Expect net income per diluted share to be between $0.55 to $0.59.

Headwinds

  • Includes approximately $0.07 of professional fees related to cyber security and shareholder engagement activities.
  • Compares to $0.41 in the first quarter of 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

37 / 67 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.1%-11.3%
Q4 2025+4.6%+0.0%-32.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+16.1%+41.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%+9.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024-10.7%-14.0%-19.5%
Q3 2024+6.6%+3.4%+0.2%
Q2 2024+27.5%+15.9%+49.5%
Q1 2024-19.8%-22.7%-1.1%
Q4 2023-7.5%-20.8%-22.5%
Q3 2023-8.5%-5.9%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.3%-39.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-7.8%-7.8%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.1%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.9%+9.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+10.0%+7.2%
Q1 2022+6.7%+8.1%+2.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-5.5%-5.7%
Q3 2021+3.2%+11.4%+7.6%
Q2 2021+2.0%+2.9%+2.8%
Q1 2021+1.1%+11.8%+11.0%
Q4 2020+1.6%+5.8%+17.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+11.0%+23.6%
Q2 2020-1.6%+2.8%+11.8%
Q1 2020-9.3%-11.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019-4.7%-7.1%-15.6%
Q3 2019+6.8%+8.2%+5.6%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.4%-5.0%
Q1 2019-1.5%-6.5%-13.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.4%-1.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+7.6%+10.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+3.1%+14.1%
Q4 2017-6.0%-4.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017-1.1%-2.1%-6.1%
Q2 2017-6.7%-4.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2016+6.1%+6.8%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%-0.7%+16.4%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.4%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.3%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-5.1%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+6.1%
Q3 2014-4.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013-5.2%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+6.4%
Q4 2008+2.4%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q3 2009-1.9%
Q4 2009+2.3%
Q2 2010+2.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro