NASDAQ$FWRD

Forward Air Corporation · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported profitable income from operations and positive operating and free cash flow. Business rebounded from April impact of COVID-19, with June continuing operations revenue and operating income above last year’s levels.

Forward Air Corporation reported a decrease in operating revenue and income from operations compared to the same quarter last year, but experienced a rebound in June with revenue and operating income exceeding the previous year's levels, after adjusting for one-time items. The company also reported positive operating and free cash flow.

  • Teams stepped up for customers, recovering from April lows with record service levels.
  • June's top and bottom lines exceeded last year's on a continuing operations basis.
  • Results include non-recurring items like a $2.1 million gain from fair value changes and offsets from severance and COVID-19 related reserves.
  • Pool Distribution is reported as a discontinued operation.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$282M

Previous: $346M-18.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.33

Previous: $0.78-57.7%
Drayage Revenue per Shipment

$556.00

Previous: $571.00-2.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$14.2M

Previous: -$12.5M-13.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.1M

Previous: $9.82M-212.6%
Net Income

$3.15M

Previous: $22.3M-85.9%
Operating Income

$13.9M

Previous: $30.6M-54.5%
Gross Profit

$140M

Previous: $191M-26.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$80.9M

Previous: $14.8M+447.6%
Total Assets

$1.07B

Previous: $937M+14.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.43M

Previous: $3.2M-24.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Forward Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$282M

Q2 2020-18.5%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forward Air · $282M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Expedited Freight
    $236M
  • Intermodal
    $46.4M

Forward guidance

The Company expects third quarter year-on-year revenue growth to be 1% to 5% and net income per diluted share to be between $0.40 and $0.44.

Tailwinds

  • Expect third quarter year-on-year revenue growth to be 1% to 5%
  • Expect net income per diluted share to be between $0.40 and $0.44
  • Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share of common stock
  • Total annual dividend of $0.72 for the full year 2020, payable in quarterly increments of $0.18 per share of common stock.

Headwinds

  • Prolonged impact of COVID-19 and actions taken to mitigate those impacts.
  • Economic factors such as recessions, inflation, higher interest rates and downturns in customer business cycles.
  • The creditworthiness of our customers and their ability to pay for services rendered
  • More limited liquidity than expected which limits our ability to make key investments
  • Changes in fuel prices

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

37 / 67 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.1%-11.3%+24.3%
Q4 2025+4.6%+0.0%-32.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+16.1%+41.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%+9.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024-10.7%-14.0%-19.5%
Q3 2024+6.6%+3.4%+0.2%
Q2 2024+27.5%+15.9%+49.5%
Q1 2024-19.8%-22.7%-1.1%
Q4 2023-7.5%-20.8%-22.5%
Q3 2023-8.5%-5.9%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.3%-39.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-7.8%-7.8%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.1%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.9%+9.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+10.0%+7.2%
Q1 2022+6.7%+8.1%+2.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-5.5%-5.7%
Q3 2021+3.2%+11.4%+7.6%
Q2 2021+2.0%+2.9%+2.8%
Q1 2021+1.1%+11.8%+11.0%
Q4 2020+1.6%+5.8%+17.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+11.0%+23.6%
Q2 2020-1.6%+2.8%+11.8%
Q1 2020-9.3%-11.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019-4.7%-7.1%-15.6%
Q3 2019+6.8%+8.2%+5.6%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.4%-5.0%
Q1 2019-1.5%-6.5%-13.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.4%-1.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+7.6%+10.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+3.1%+14.1%
Q4 2017-6.0%-4.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017-1.1%-2.1%-6.1%
Q2 2017-6.7%-4.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2016+6.1%+6.8%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%-0.7%+16.4%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.4%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.3%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-5.1%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+6.1%
Q3 2014-4.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013-5.2%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+6.4%
Q4 2008+2.4%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q3 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2009+2.3%

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