NASDAQ$FWRD

Forward Air Corporation · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported all-time record revenue, income from operations, and net income per diluted share for the third quarter.

Forward Air Corporation reported a record-breaking third quarter in 2022, with revenue, net income, and net income per diluted share reaching all-time highs. The company's focus on higher quality freight and collaboration with customers led to strong financial performance.

  • Reported revenue, net income, and net income per diluted share represent the best third quarter financial performance in the Company’s history and each set all-time third quarter records.
  • Net income per diluted share of $1.93 exceeded the high end of the guidance range of $1.88 to $1.92.
  • Third quarter revenue growth of 22% came within the guidance range of 20% to 24%.
  • The company expects the fourth quarter to be more profitable than the third quarter, and 2023 net income per diluted share to be higher than 2022 net income per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$510M

Previous: $420M+21.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.93

Previous: $1.14+69.3%
Drayage Revenue per Shipment

$1.2K

Previous: $723.00+66.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$25.4M

Previous: -$23M-10.4%
Free Cash Flow

$26.7M

Previous: $521K+5030.9%
Net Income

$52.1M

Previous: $23.5M+121.5%
Operating Income

$71.7M

Previous: $42.5M+68.7%
Gross Profit

$281M

Previous: $214M+31.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$46.8M

Previous: $51.9M-9.8%
Total Assets

$1.19B

Previous: $1.07B+10.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.68M

Previous: $2.6M+2.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Forward Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$510M

Q3 2022+21.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forward Air · $510M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Expedited Freight
    $396M+15.8%
  • Intermodal
    $114M+46.4%

Forward guidance

The Company expects year-over-year revenue growth of 7% to 11% and net income per diluted share to be between $1.98 to $2.02 for the fourth quarter of 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Year-over-year revenue growth will be 7% to 11%.
  • Net income per diluted share to be between $1.98 to $2.02.
  • The fourth quarter to be more profitable than the third quarter.
  • 2023 net income per diluted share to be higher than 2022 net income per diluted share.
  • Collaboration with customers on selecting, handling, and pricing higher quality freight led to strong third quarter financial performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

37 / 67 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.1%-11.3%+24.3%
Q4 2025+4.6%+0.0%-32.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+16.1%+41.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%+9.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024-10.7%-14.0%-19.5%
Q3 2024+6.6%+3.4%+0.2%
Q2 2024+27.5%+15.9%+49.5%
Q1 2024-19.8%-22.7%-1.1%
Q4 2023-7.5%-20.8%-22.5%
Q3 2023-8.5%-5.9%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.3%-39.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-7.8%-7.8%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.1%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.9%+9.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+10.0%+7.2%
Q1 2022+6.7%+8.1%+2.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-5.5%-5.7%
Q3 2021+3.2%+11.4%+7.6%
Q2 2021+2.0%+2.9%+2.8%
Q1 2021+1.1%+11.8%+11.0%
Q4 2020+1.6%+5.8%+17.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+11.0%+23.6%
Q2 2020-1.6%+2.8%+11.8%
Q1 2020-9.3%-11.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019-4.7%-7.1%-15.6%
Q3 2019+6.8%+8.2%+5.6%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.4%-5.0%
Q1 2019-1.5%-6.5%-13.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.4%-1.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+7.6%+10.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+3.1%+14.1%
Q4 2017-6.0%-4.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017-1.1%-2.1%-6.1%
Q2 2017-6.7%-4.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2016+6.1%+6.8%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%-0.7%+16.4%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.4%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.3%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-5.1%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+6.1%
Q3 2014-4.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013-5.2%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+6.4%
Q4 2008+2.4%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q3 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2009+2.3%

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