NASDAQ$FWRD

Forward Air Corporation · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record first quarter revenue and guided for record second quarter net income per diluted share.

Forward Air Corporation reported record first quarter revenue, exceeding the high end of their guidance range. The company's net income per diluted share also exceeded the high end of their guidance.

  • Record first quarter revenue driven by growth strategies.
  • Net income per diluted share exceeded the high end of guidance.
  • Business momentum continued and accelerated in March.
  • Company anticipates continued momentum and bringing back business impacted by the pandemic.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$362M

Previous: $343M+5.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $0.30+100.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.7M

Previous: -$3.17M+15.0%
Free Cash Flow

$8.49M

Previous: $5.2M+63.1%
Net Income

$11.2M

Previous: $8.38M+33.5%
Operating Income

$22.7M

Previous: $11.7M+94.2%
Gross Profit

$178M

Previous: $182M-2.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$24.4M

Previous: $77.2M-68.4%
Total Assets

$1.02B

Previous: $1.07B-4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.6M

Previous: $3.08M-15.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Forward Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$362M

Q1 2021+5.7%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forward Air · $363M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Expedited Freight
    $304M+21.1%
  • Intermodal
    $58.5M+11.5%

Forward guidance

The Company expects year-over-year revenue growth of 35% to 40%, and net income per diluted share to be between $0.96 to $1.00 for the second quarter of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Year-over-year revenue growth expected to be 35% to 40%.
  • Net income per diluted share expected to be between $0.96 to $1.00.
  • Expected to exceed second quarter 2020 net income per diluted share of $0.33.
  • Expected to exceed second quarter 2018 net income per diluted share of $0.79.
  • Company will continue to bring back business together with our customers who were directly impacted by the pandemic such as cruise lines, conferences and trade shows.

Headwinds

  • Economic factors such as recessions, inflation, higher interest rates and downturns in customer business cycles
  • COVID-19 pandemic
  • Manage growth and ability to grow, in part, through acquisitions, while being able to successfully integrate such acquisitions
  • Secure terminal facilities in desirable locations at reasonable rates
  • More limited liquidity than expected which limits our ability to make key investments

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

37 / 67 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.1%-11.3%+24.3%
Q4 2025+4.6%+0.0%-32.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+16.1%+41.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%+9.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024-10.7%-14.0%-19.5%
Q3 2024+6.6%+3.4%+0.2%
Q2 2024+27.5%+15.9%+49.5%
Q1 2024-19.8%-22.7%-1.1%
Q4 2023-7.5%-20.8%-22.5%
Q3 2023-8.5%-5.9%-9.7%
Q2 2023-5.4%-6.3%-39.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-7.8%-7.8%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.1%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.9%+9.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+10.0%+7.2%
Q1 2022+6.7%+8.1%+2.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-5.5%-5.7%
Q3 2021+3.2%+11.4%+7.6%
Q2 2021+2.0%+2.9%+2.8%
Q1 2021+1.1%+11.8%+11.0%
Q4 2020+1.6%+5.8%+17.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+11.0%+23.6%
Q2 2020-1.6%+2.8%+11.8%
Q1 2020-9.3%-11.2%-7.1%
Q4 2019-4.7%-7.1%-15.6%
Q3 2019+6.8%+8.2%+5.6%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.4%-5.0%
Q1 2019-1.5%-6.5%-13.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.4%-1.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+7.6%+10.7%
Q1 2018+5.2%+3.1%+14.1%
Q4 2017-6.0%-4.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017-1.1%-2.1%-6.1%
Q2 2017-6.7%-4.8%-6.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2016+6.1%+6.8%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%-0.7%+16.4%
Q2 2016+4.9%+4.4%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.3%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-5.1%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+6.1%
Q3 2014-4.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013-5.2%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+6.4%
Q4 2008+2.4%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q3 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2009+2.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro