NASDAQ$BIRD

Allbirds Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results, exceeding adjusted revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance targets, while delivering on sustainability goals.

Allbirds reported a 16% increase in net revenue to $72.7 million year-over-year for the third quarter of 2022. The company's U.S. physical retail channel sales grew 53% compared to 2021, with the opening of six new stores in the United States during the quarter. GAAP net loss was $25.2 million, or $0.17 per basic and diluted share, while adjusted net loss was $22.4 million, or $0.15 per basic and diluted share.

  • Net revenue increased 16% to $72.7 million year over year.
  • U.S. physical retail channel sales grew 53% compared to 2021.
  • GAAP net loss of $25.2 million, or $0.17 per basic and diluted share.
  • Launched 100% plastic-free, 100% vegan plant leather.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$72.7M

Previous: $62.7M+15.9%
EPS (adj)

-$3.00

Previous: -$5.00+40.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$25M

Previous: -$17.6M-41.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$50.2M

Previous: -$31.4M-59.7%
Net Income

-$25.2M

Previous: -$13.8M-82.9%
Operating Income

-$25.5M

Previous: -$11.9M-114.8%
Gross Profit

$32.5M

Previous: $33.9M-4.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$181M

Previous: $65.4M+176.5%
Total Assets

$414M

Previous: $250M+65.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.79M

Previous: $3.42M+69.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Allbirds · Revenue · Quarterly

$72.7M

Q3 2022+15.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Allbirds is maintaining its guidance targets for full year 2022 which exclude any non-recurring revenue and costs associated with its simplification initiatives.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted net revenue of $305 million to $315 million, representing growth in the range of 10% to 14% versus fiscal 2021.
  • Adjusted gross profit of $150.0 million to $157.5 million, which at the midpoint represents a gross margin of 49.6%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of $42.5 million to $37.5 million.
  • Carbon footprint reduction target of 6% against our 2021 baseline for our top 10 products.
  • Adjusted net revenue of $92 million to $102 million for Q4 2022.

Headwinds

  • Includes an estimated FX impact of 275-350 bps, versus fiscal 2021.
  • Includes an estimated $8 million of recurring public company costs.
  • Adjusted net revenue represents growth in the range of (5)% to 5% versus the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of $8.5 million to $3.5 million for Q4 2022.
  • Macro headwinds are expected to persist into year end and 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-8.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-8.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

25%

6 / 24 earnings

Positive

+24.4%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-51.2%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-13.7%
Q4 2025+3.6%+10.9%+252.1%
Q3 2025-7.2%-28.2%-39.7%
Q2 2025-29.4%-27.9%-36.2%
Q1 2025-2.4%+23.8%+58.0%
Q4 2024-13.1%-13.5%-27.6%
Q3 2024-23.2%-29.7%-30.9%
Q2 2024+8.2%+6.5%-7.8%
Q1 2024-10.4%+2.9%-19.4%
Q4 2023-9.6%-12.0%-24.5%
Q3 2023-23.9%-29.3%+11.9%
Q2 2023+23.9%+18.7%-6.0%
Q1 2023-6.4%-4.9%+2.6%
Q4 2022-51.2%-56.4%-55.1%
Q3 2022-17.2%-6.6%-5.6%
Q2 2021-17.5%-7.2%-28.7%
Q2 2022-13.1%-0.2%-23.0%
Q1 2021-7.5%+0.2%+8.8%
Q1 2022-19.1%-13.8%+4.7%
Q4 2019+24.4%+16.5%+0.4%
Q4 2021+0.0%-8.1%-29.6%
Q4 2020+1.4%-5.2%+3.5%
Q3 2020+1.4%-5.2%+3.5%
Q3 2021-14.7%-24.6%-15.2%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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