NASDAQ$BIRD

Allbirds Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record-breaking revenue with strong growth in retail and digital channels.

Allbirds reported a strong finish to 2021 with Q4 revenue reaching a record $97.2 million, a 23% increase year-over-year and a 43% increase compared to 2019. The company's financial performance exceeded guidance targets, driven by strong global demand and successful execution during macro challenges. Full year 2021 net revenue rose 27% to $277.5 million compared to 2020.

  • Fourth quarter net revenue increased 23% to $97.2 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Full year 2021 net revenue rose 27% to $277.5 million compared to 2020.
  • Full year 2021 gross profit increased 30% to $146.7 million compared to 2020.
  • Fourth quarter 2021 GAAP net loss of $10.4 million, or $0.09 per basic and diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$97.2M

Previous: $79.3M+22.6%
EPS (adj)

-$1.80

Previous: -$3.60+50.0%
Gross Margin

50.2%

Previous: 49.7%+1.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$400K

Previous: -$5.3M+107.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

0.4%

Previous: -6.7%+106.0%
Capital Expenditures

$6.55M

Previous: $2.42M+171.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.9M

Previous: $2.63M-552.5%
Net Income

-$10.4M

Previous: -$9.35M-11.2%
Operating Income

-$6.4M

Previous: -$9.66M+33.7%
Gross Profit

$48.8M

Previous: $39.4M+23.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$289M

Previous: $127M+128.0%
Total Assets

$488M

Previous: $244M+100.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.9M

Previous: $1.84M+112.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Allbirds · Revenue · Quarterly

$97.2M

Q4 2021+22.6%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 9 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Allbirds provided the following guidance targets for full year 2022: Net revenue of $355 million to $365 million, representing growth in the range of 28% to 32% versus fiscal 2021 and 62% to 66% versus fiscal 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Net revenue of $355 million to $365 million, representing growth in the range of 28% to 32% versus fiscal 2021 and 62% to 66% versus fiscal 2020.
  • Gross profit of $187.5 million to $195 million, which at the midpoint of our net revenue and gross profit targets represents a gross margin percent of 53.1%, a 27 bps increase versus fiscal 2021.
  • Carbon footprint reduction target of 6% for our top 10 products, aligned with our Allbirds Flight Plan to reduce by 25% by the end of 2025 and 95% by 2030.
  • Net revenue of $60 million to $62 million, representing growth in the range of 21% to 25% versus the first quarter of fiscal 2021 and 42% to 47% versus the first quarter of fiscal 2020.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA of negative $13 million to negative $9 million, including an estimated $8 million of public company costs.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of negative $13 million to negative $11 million, including an estimated $2 million of public company costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-8.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-8.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

25%

6 / 24 earnings

Positive

+24.4%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-51.2%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-13.7%-21.5%
Q4 2025+3.6%+10.9%+252.1%
Q3 2025-7.2%-28.2%-39.7%
Q2 2025-29.4%-27.9%-36.2%
Q1 2025-2.4%+23.8%+58.0%
Q4 2024-13.1%-13.5%-27.6%
Q3 2024-23.2%-29.7%-30.9%
Q2 2024+8.2%+6.5%-7.8%
Q1 2024-10.4%+2.9%-19.4%
Q4 2023-9.6%-12.0%-24.5%
Q3 2023-23.9%-29.3%+11.9%
Q2 2023+23.9%+18.7%-6.0%
Q1 2023-6.4%-4.9%+2.6%
Q4 2022-51.2%-56.4%-55.1%
Q3 2022-17.2%-6.6%-5.6%
Q2 2021-17.5%-7.2%-28.7%
Q2 2022-13.1%-0.2%-23.0%
Q1 2021-7.5%+0.2%+8.8%
Q1 2022-19.1%-13.8%+4.7%
Q4 2019+24.4%+16.5%+0.4%
Q4 2021+0.0%-8.1%-29.6%
Q3 2020+1.4%-5.2%+3.5%
Q4 2020+1.4%-5.2%+3.5%
Q3 2021-14.7%-24.6%-15.2%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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