NASDAQ$AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp · Q2 2022 earnings
Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Announced financial results, showing a comprehensive loss per common share but an increase in net spread and dollar roll income, while maintaining a defensive position in a challenging market environment.
AGNC Investment Corp. reported a challenging second quarter of 2022, marked by significant market pressure and interest rate volatility. The company experienced a comprehensive loss per common share of $(1.34). However, net spread and dollar roll income per common share, excluding estimated 'catch-up' premium amortization benefit, increased to $0.83. AGNC maintained a defensive position with lower leverage and low interest rate exposure.
- Comprehensive loss per common share was $(1.34), including a net loss of $(0.87) per common share.
- Net spread and dollar roll income per common share, excluding estimated 'catch-up' premium amortization benefit, was $0.83.
- Tangible net book value per common share decreased to $11.43, a -12.9% decrease from the previous quarter.
- Dividends declared per common share for the second quarter totaled $0.36.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
AGNC · Revenue · Quarterly
$315M
Forward guidance
While the near-term outlook continues to be uncertain, the longer-term outlook for Agency MBS has improved substantially. At current valuation levels, Agency MBS are extremely attractive relative to historical levels. The favorable returns associated with Agency MBS in this wider spread regime and an improving technical outlook for mortgage supply and demand should provide a supportive backdrop for Agency MBS investors. Moreover, in this compelling investment environment, we believe AGNC is well-positioned to generate strong risk-adjusted returns for our stockholders.
Tailwinds
- Agency MBS are extremely attractive relative to historical levels.
- The Federal Reserve has begun to reduce its portfolio organically, but that runoff will occur at a slower pace than previously anticipated as a result of reduced prepayments.
- The net supply of Agency MBS is now expected to be meaningfully lower than prior expectations.
- The favorable returns associated with Agency MBS in this wider spread regime and an improving technical outlook for mortgage supply and demand should provide a supportive backdrop for Agency MBS investors.
- AGNC is well-positioned to generate strong risk-adjusted returns for our stockholders.
Headwinds
- Financial markets remained under significant pressure in the second quarter as the Federal Reserve indicated a more aggressive path of monetary policy tightening.
- The expectation of materially higher short-term rates drove significant interest rate volatility and increased the probability of a recession.
- This challenging monetary policy and macro-economic environment led to broad-based financial market weakness during the second quarter.
- Agency MBS were no exception, as the spread between Agency MBS and swap and Treasury rates widened meaningfully in April and again in June.
- The near-term outlook continues to be uncertain.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022
+0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.9%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.8%
Avg return
30 days after
63%
41 / 65 earnings
Positive
+9.2%
Q1 2022
Best reaction
-9.1%
Q3 2013
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | +2.3% | -4.8% | |
| Q4 2025 | +3.2% | -3.4% | -3.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5% | +1.0% | -0.3% | |
| Q2 2025 | +0.2% | +1.0% | +5.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | +3.6% | +8.5% | +8.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | +0.8% | +1.8% | +6.4% | |
| Q3 2024 | -5.6% | -6.3% | -9.0% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.0% | -1.7% | -0.7% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.4% | +2.0% | +6.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4% | +0.2% | -3.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | +5.4% | +19.3% | +27.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +3.0% | +2.3% | -4.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | -3.0% | -1.4% | -11.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | -0.7% | +2.4% | -9.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | +2.2% | +5.7% | +27.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.2% | +3.8% | +2.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | +9.2% | +13.0% | +10.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -0.5% | -3.5% | -10.6% | |
| Q3 2021 | -0.2% | -3.8% | -3.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | +0.4% | -1.6% | +2.0% | |
| Q1 2021 | +1.6% | +2.6% | +6.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | +0.1% | -3.3% | +2.7% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.4% | -1.6% | +10.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.4% | +0.6% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | -2.1% | -2.2% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.4% | +1.2% | -7.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | +2.4% | +2.2% | +4.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | -1.9% | -0.6% | -10.8% | |
| Q1 2019 | -2.0% | -2.5% | -6.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | -1.1% | -1.5% | -3.0% | |
| Q3 2018 | +2.7% | +2.7% | -1.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | +1.1% | +2.3% | +0.7% | |
| Q1 2018 | +1.2% | +0.3% | +1.2% | |
| Q4 2017 | -1.5% | -4.5% | -4.9% | |
| Q3 2017 | -5.0% | -6.1% | -6.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | +0.6% | +0.6% | +2.8% | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.3% | +1.4% | -1.6% | |
| Q4 2016 | +0.9% | +2.8% | +4.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | +3.6% | +1.8% | -2.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -5.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -9.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -7.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +6.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.7% | — | — |
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