NASDAQ$AGNC

AGNC Investment Corp · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

AGNC Investment reported Q3 2025 comprehensive income and book value trends tied to agency MBS portfolio positioning.

The quarter reflected net spread income and fair-value marks on the agency mortgage REIT portfolio amid rate volatility. Tangible book value and dividend coverage remain central to the investment case as the company manages leverage and hedge ratios.

  • Agency MBS net interest spread drives core earnings.
  • Book value sensitive to rates and spread moves.
  • Dividend policy tied to taxable income and outlook.
  • Hedging program manages duration and basis risk.
  • Funding costs and repo markets key quarterly variables.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$822M

Previous: -$64M+1384.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.65

Previous: $0.39+66.7%
Economic Return on Equity

10.6%

Previous: 9.3%+14.0%
Portfolio CPR

8.3%

No prior period
Net Interest Spread

1.8%

No prior period
At-Risk Leverage Ratio

7.6

Previous: 7.2+5.6%
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

Previous: $0.00
Net Income

$806M

Previous: $346M+132.9%
Operating Income

$764M

Previous: -$94M+912.8%

Revenue & EPS history

AGNC · Revenue · Quarterly

$822M

Q3 2025-1,384.4%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 2 of 15 quarters(13%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Mortgage REITs focus on book value, dividend coverage, and spread management.

Tailwinds

  • Net spread income and hedge effectiveness.
  • Agency MBS portfolio positioning.
  • Dividend sustainability vs taxable income.

Headwinds

  • Rate volatility and spread widening.
  • Prepayment and extension risk.
  • Funding market stress.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

41 / 65 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-9.1%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%+2.3%-4.8%
Q4 2025+3.2%-3.4%-3.8%
Q3 2025-0.5%+1.0%-0.3%
Q2 2025+0.2%+1.0%+5.9%
Q1 2025+3.6%+8.5%+8.0%
Q4 2024+0.8%+1.8%+6.4%
Q3 2024-5.6%-6.3%-9.0%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.7%-0.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%+2.0%+6.8%
Q4 2023-0.4%+0.2%-3.2%
Q3 2023+5.4%+19.3%+27.9%
Q2 2023+3.0%+2.3%-4.2%
Q1 2023-3.0%-1.4%-11.7%
Q4 2022-0.7%+2.4%-9.3%
Q3 2022+2.2%+5.7%+27.3%
Q2 2022-0.2%+3.8%+2.1%
Q1 2022+9.2%+13.0%+10.8%
Q4 2021-0.5%-3.5%-10.6%
Q3 2021-0.2%-3.8%-3.1%
Q2 2021+0.4%-1.6%+2.0%
Q1 2021+1.6%+2.6%+6.4%
Q4 2020+0.1%-3.3%+2.7%
Q3 2020+0.4%-1.6%+10.3%
Q2 2020+0.4%+0.6%+3.9%
Q1 2020-2.1%-2.2%+2.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+1.2%-7.4%
Q3 2019+2.4%+2.2%+4.0%
Q2 2019-1.9%-0.6%-10.8%
Q1 2019-2.0%-2.5%-6.2%
Q4 2018-1.1%-1.5%-3.0%
Q3 2018+2.7%+2.7%-1.0%
Q2 2018+1.1%+2.3%+0.7%
Q1 2018+1.2%+0.3%+1.2%
Q4 2017-1.5%-4.5%-4.9%
Q3 2017-5.0%-6.1%-6.4%
Q2 2017+0.6%+0.6%+2.8%
Q1 2017+2.3%+1.4%-1.6%
Q4 2016+0.9%+2.8%+4.8%
Q3 2016+3.6%+1.8%-2.9%
Q2 2016-0.3%-0.1%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015+1.7%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+1.8%
Q3 2013-9.1%
Q2 2013+6.7%
Q1 2013-7.1%
Q4 2012-3.4%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011+6.3%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.8%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2010+1.7%

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