NASDAQ$AGNC

AGNC Investment Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

AGNC announced financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2024.

AGNC Investment Corp. reported a comprehensive loss per common share of $(0.11) for Q4 2024, which includes net income per common share of $0.10 and other comprehensive loss of $(0.20) per common share. The company's tangible net book value per common share decreased to $8.41. They issued 53.2 million shares of common equity through At-the-Market Offerings for net proceeds of $511 million.

  • Comprehensive loss per common share was $(0.11).
  • Net spread and dollar roll income per common share was $0.37.
  • Tangible net book value per common share was $8.41 as of December 31, 2024.
  • Economic return on tangible common equity for the quarter was -0.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$115M

Previous: -$26M+542.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.37

Previous: $0.60-38.3%
Net Interest Spread

1.9%

Previous: 3.1%-38.0%
At-Risk Leverage Ratio

7.2

Previous: 7+2.9%
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

No prior period
Net Income

$122M

Previous: $412M-70.4%

Revenue & EPS history

AGNC · Revenue · Quarterly

$115M

Q4 2024-542.3%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 2 of 15 quarters(13%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

AGNC has a very positive outlook for Agency MBS, supported by the increasingly favorable environment that emerged in 2024. The Federal Reserve finally shifted its restrictive monetary policy stance and began the process of returning short term rates to a neutral level.

Tailwinds

  • The Federal Reserve has shifted its restrictive monetary policy stance.
  • Inflationary pressures are declining.
  • Monetary policy is becoming more accommodative.
  • Interest rate volatility has eased.
  • The yield curve has steepened.

Headwinds

  • Higher interest rates
  • Modestly wider spreads for the quarter
  • Decline in tangible net book value per common share
  • Comprehensive loss per common share
  • Economic return on tangible common equity for the quarter was negative

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

41 / 65 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-9.1%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%+2.3%-4.8%
Q4 2025+3.2%-3.4%-3.8%
Q3 2025-0.5%+1.0%-0.3%
Q2 2025+0.2%+1.0%+5.9%
Q1 2025+3.6%+8.5%+8.0%
Q4 2024+0.8%+1.8%+6.4%
Q3 2024-5.6%-6.3%-9.0%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.7%-0.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%+2.0%+6.8%
Q4 2023-0.4%+0.2%-3.2%
Q3 2023+5.4%+19.3%+27.9%
Q2 2023+3.0%+2.3%-4.2%
Q1 2023-3.0%-1.4%-11.7%
Q4 2022-0.7%+2.4%-9.3%
Q3 2022+2.2%+5.7%+27.3%
Q2 2022-0.2%+3.8%+2.1%
Q1 2022+9.2%+13.0%+10.8%
Q4 2021-0.5%-3.5%-10.6%
Q3 2021-0.2%-3.8%-3.1%
Q2 2021+0.4%-1.6%+2.0%
Q1 2021+1.6%+2.6%+6.4%
Q4 2020+0.1%-3.3%+2.7%
Q3 2020+0.4%-1.6%+10.3%
Q2 2020+0.4%+0.6%+3.9%
Q1 2020-2.1%-2.2%+2.0%
Q4 2019+0.4%+1.2%-7.4%
Q3 2019+2.4%+2.2%+4.0%
Q2 2019-1.9%-0.6%-10.8%
Q1 2019-2.0%-2.5%-6.2%
Q4 2018-1.1%-1.5%-3.0%
Q3 2018+2.7%+2.7%-1.0%
Q2 2018+1.1%+2.3%+0.7%
Q1 2018+1.2%+0.3%+1.2%
Q4 2017-1.5%-4.5%-4.9%
Q3 2017-5.0%-6.1%-6.4%
Q2 2017+0.6%+0.6%+2.8%
Q1 2017+2.3%+1.4%-1.6%
Q4 2016+0.9%+2.8%+4.8%
Q3 2016+3.6%+1.8%-2.9%
Q2 2016-0.3%-0.1%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015+1.7%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+1.8%
Q3 2013-9.1%
Q2 2013+6.7%
Q1 2013-7.1%
Q4 2012-3.4%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011+6.3%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.8%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2010+1.7%

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