NYSE$WGO

Winnebago Industries Inc. · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Strong sales growth continued to outperform the RV industry, with quarterly revenues increased by 45%, including robust organic growth of 13%. Reported quarterly diluted EPS of $0.51, adjusted EPS of $0.67, up 9.8% over prior year.

Winnebago Industries reported a strong second quarter in fiscal year 2020, with a 44.9% increase in revenues to $626.8 million. The company's growth was driven by robust Class B sales and another exceptional quarter from Grand Design RV. The acquisition of Newmar contributed significantly to the revenue increase.

  • Revenues increased 44.9% to $626.8 million compared to the prior year.
  • Revenues excluding Newmar increased 12.9% to $488.4 million.
  • Consolidated adjusted earnings per share increased 9.8% to $0.67.
  • North American RV retail market share is 13.2% on a trailing three-month basis through January, 2020, up 2.6 share points over the same period last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$627M

Previous: $433M+44.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.67

Previous: $0.60+11.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$12.4M

Previous: -$10.6M-17.3%
Free Cash Flow

$4.84M

Previous: $11M-56.1%
Net Income

$17.3M

Previous: $21.6M-20.0%
Operating Income

$29.6M

Previous: $28.9M+2.6%
Gross Profit

$79.8M

Previous: $66.4M+20.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$123M

Previous: $3.02M+3974.9%
Total Assets

$1.57B

Previous: $1.08B+45.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.06M

Previous: $2.13M-3.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Winnebago · Revenue · Quarterly

$627M

Q2 2020+44.9%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Winnebago · $688M total across 3 segments · Q3 2026

  • Motorhome RV
    $321M
  • Towable RV
    $275M
  • Marine
    $92.4M

Forward guidance

Winnebago Industries is closely monitoring the coronavirus outbreak and its potential impact on the company's operations and end markets. The company has temporarily suspended production across all of its businesses through April 12, 2020, to prioritize the health and safety of its employees and partners. Despite the uncertain times, Winnebago remains confident in the long-term prospects of the outdoor recreation industry and is focused on activating its premium brands to accelerate market share growth when conditions improve.

Tailwinds

  • Company performed solidly in the second quarter.
  • RV industry conditions have improved as demonstrated by normalized dealer inventories, a stable price environment and strong retail show attendance and sales results during the first quarter of calendar 2020.
  • Portfolio is stronger and more balanced than ever, with four of the most iconic brands in the outdoor lifestyle arena – Winnebago, Grand Design, Newmar, and Chris-Craft.
  • Entered the second half of our fiscal year with significant cash on hand of $122.9 million.
  • Access to a credit line of $192.5 million, and the ability to leverage a highly variable cost structure.

Headwinds

  • Increasing risk presented by the coronavirus outbreak.
  • Temporarily suspend production across each of our businesses through April 12, 2020.
  • Significant change in mid-March for the demand of our products by both consumers and dealer partners.
  • Very real disruption in both our internal operations and end markets.
  • Industry continues to look for its footing in these uncertain times as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.9%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-16.3%

Q1 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026
Q2 2026-7.2%-5.0%
Q1 2026+8.2%+5.6%+18.5%
Q4 2025+28.7%+30.3%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.5%-8.6%+6.0%
Q2 2025+8.1%-0.7%-5.8%
Q1 2025-7.6%-7.8%-8.0%
Q4 2024-10.0%-4.2%+1.6%
Q3 2024-4.8%-8.5%+0.2%
Q2 2024+7.0%+8.1%-4.5%
Q1 2024-3.8%-3.9%-10.1%
Q4 2023-2.3%-1.6%+12.5%
Q3 2023-5.6%-3.6%+3.7%
Q2 2023-3.9%-3.9%+1.4%
Q1 2023-4.7%-3.8%+9.9%
Q4 2022-11.0%-4.7%-5.0%
Q3 2022+10.2%+14.2%+28.7%
Q2 2022-10.0%-15.4%-11.3%
Q1 2022-3.4%+2.2%+11.4%
Q4 2021-4.9%-8.6%-0.1%
Q3 2021+0.8%+2.6%+3.3%
Q2 2021-4.2%-5.3%+0.4%
Q1 2021+8.2%+9.2%+10.2%
Q4 2020-10.4%-15.2%-12.0%
Q3 2020-3.5%-6.0%-12.6%
Q2 2020+28.9%+23.6%+64.4%
Q1 2020+10.7%+9.6%+15.5%
Q4 2019+17.0%+20.3%+13.1%
Q3 2019+3.5%-0.6%+2.0%
Q2 2019-0.8%+7.0%+25.0%
Q1 2019+15.4%+12.4%+53.4%
Q4 2018-8.3%-11.8%-19.4%
Q3 2018+15.0%+6.6%+3.3%
Q2 2018-12.7%-18.0%-19.7%
Q1 2018-1.9%-1.7%-7.7%
Q4 2017+7.5%+6.5%+11.5%
Q3 2017+15.7%+20.0%+18.8%
Q2 2017+7.0%+8.1%-5.6%
Q1 2017-12.2%-11.2%-15.2%
Q4 2016+1.6%+1.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016+7.1%+1.2%+5.8%
Q2 2016+4.7%
Q1 2016-11.1%
Q4 2015-0.4%
Q3 2015+18.2%
Q2 2015-11.6%
Q1 2015-11.0%
Q4 2014-3.0%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014-16.3%
Q4 2013+7.9%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+16.7%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q4 2012-8.0%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q3 2012+6.1%
Q2 2011+3.5%
Q2 2012+3.5%
Q1 2012+1.7%
Q4 2011+1.7%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q2 2010-0.9%

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