NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison reported strong Q4 2024 results with a 16.7% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.36 billion. Net income rose to $242 million, or $2.30 per diluted share, while adjusted net income reached $278 million, or $2.64 per diluted share. Home closings revenue grew 12% to $2.2 billion, driven by higher sales and a marginally increased average selling price.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.36B

Previous: $2.02B+16.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.64

Previous: $1.61+64.0%
Home Closings

3.6K

No prior period
Average Closing Price

$608K

No prior period
Home Closings Gross Margin

24.8%

No prior period
Adjusted Home Closings Gross Margin

24.9%

No prior period
SG&A % of Closings Rev

9.4%

No prior period
Net Sales Orders

2.6K

No prior period
Monthly Absorption Pace

2.6

No prior period
Ending Communities

339

No prior period
Cancellation Rate (Gross)

13.1%

No prior period
Cancellation Rate (Backlog)

7.0%

No prior period
Backlog Homes

4.7K

No prior period
Backlog Sales Value

$3.19B

No prior period
Homebuilding Land Investment

$590M

No prior period
Mortgage Capture Rate

89.0%

No prior period
Net Income

$242M

Previous: $173M+40.5%
Operating Income

$307M

Previous: $225M+36.4%
Gross Profit

$564M

Previous: $492M+14.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.36B

Q4 2024+16.7%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Taylor Morrison expects continued growth in 2025, forecasting increased home closings and stable margins despite market uncertainties.

Tailwinds

  • Forecasting home closings between 13,500 and 14,000
  • Home closings gross margin expected between 23% to 24%
  • Ending active community count projected to reach at least 355
  • Strong capital allocation with planned $300M-$350M in share repurchases
  • Maintained financial strength with projected SG&A in mid-9% range

Headwinds

  • Potential market volatility in interest rates affecting housing demand
  • Cancellations increased to 13.1% from 11.6% year-over-year
  • Backlog decreased by 10.3% compared to prior year
  • Slightly lower average selling prices expected in some segments
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties could impact future demand

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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