NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison reported strong first quarter results, including 42% year-over-year growth to 4.3 net sales orders per community.

Taylor Morrison reported a net income of $98 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $31 million, or $0.26 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2020. Net sales orders increased 30 percent, and monthly absorptions increased 42 percent to 4.3 net sales orders per community.

  • Net sales orders increased 30 percent to 4,492.
  • Monthly absorptions increased 42 percent to 4.3 net sales orders per community, a company record high.
  • Home closings gross margin increased 320 basis points to 18.6 percent.
  • Backlog increased 54 percent to 10,074 sold homes with a sales value of $5.3 billion, up 70 percent.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.42B

Previous: $1.35B+5.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.75

Previous: $0.57+31.6%
Home Closings

1.4B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.82M

Previous: $6.03M-229.7%
Free Cash Flow

$90.2M

Previous: $66.1M+36.5%
Net Income

$98M

Previous: -$31.4M+411.9%
Operating Income

$127M

Previous: -$28.8M+541.1%
Gross Profit

$274M

Previous: $198M+38.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$393M

Previous: $508M-22.7%
Total Assets

$7.98B

Previous: $8.26B-3.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.68M

Previous: $17M-66.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.42B

Q1 2021+5.3%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company is raising its 2021 gross margin guidance to the low-19 percent range and reaffirming its closings expectation of 14,500 to 15,000 deliveries.

Tailwinds

  • Average active community count is expected to be approximately 330 for Q2 2021.
  • Home closings are expected to be between 3,200 to 3,400 for Q2 2021.
  • GAAP home closings gross margin is expected to be generally flat sequentially in the mid-18 percent range for Q2 2021.
  • Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 23.0 percent for Q2 2021.
  • Diluted share count is expected to be approximately 130 million for Q2 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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