NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison reported strong Q3 2020 results, driven by a 53% year-over-year increase in net sales pace per community.

Taylor Morrison reported a robust third quarter with a 53% increase in total revenue to $1.70 billion and a 38% increase in net income to $115 million, or $0.87 per diluted share. Monthly absorptions increased 53% to 3.8 net sales per community, the highest level in the company's public history.

  • Monthly absorptions increased 53% to 3.8 net sales per community.
  • Total revenue increased 54% to $1.70 billion.
  • GAAP home closings gross margin equaled 17.2 percent.
  • Net sales orders increased 74 percent to 4,425.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.7B

Previous: $1.11B+53.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.01

Previous: $0.65+55.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$25.3M

Previous: -$18.7M-35.3%
Free Cash Flow

$89.5M

Previous: $48.3M+85.2%
Net Income

$115M

Previous: $67M+71.3%
Operating Income

$158M

Previous: $91.4M+72.7%
Gross Profit

$310M

Previous: $211M+46.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$548M

Previous: $222M+146.8%
Total Assets

$7.83B

Previous: $5.34B+46.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.27M

Previous: $3.69M+42.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.7B

Q3 2020+53.8%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Taylor Morrison provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2020, including average active community count, home closings, GAAP home closings gross margin, effective tax rate, and diluted share count.

Tailwinds

  • Average active community count is expected to be approximately 375 to 380
  • Home closings are expected to be about 3,050
  • GAAP home closings gross margin, inclusive of capitalized interest and purchase accounting, is expected to be approximately 18 percent
  • Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 23.0 percent
  • Diluted share count is expected to be approximately 131 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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