NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison reported strong results driven by strategic capital allocation and diversified consumer strategy.

Taylor Morrison reported a net income of $171 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, for Q3 2023. The company's performance was driven by over 2,600 home deliveries and an adjusted home closings gross margin of 23.9%. The company also increased land investment, retired debt, and repurchased shares, ending the quarter with $1.6 billion in liquidity.

  • Home closings revenue reached $1.6 billion with 2,639 home closings at an average price of $611,000.
  • Adjusted home closings gross margin was 23.9%, excluding an inventory impairment.
  • Net sales orders increased by 25% to 2,592, with a monthly absorption pace of 2.7 per community.
  • The mortgage capture rate reached an all-time high of 88%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.68B

Previous: $2.03B-17.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.62

Previous: $2.72-40.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$47M

Previous: -$22.5M-109.3%
Free Cash Flow

$124M

Previous: $287M-57.0%
Net Income

$171M

Previous: $310M-44.9%
Operating Income

$224M

Previous: $423M-47.0%
Gross Profit

$392M

Previous: $558M-29.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$614M

Previous: $329M+86.4%
Total Assets

$8.44B

Previous: $8.59B-1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.7M

Previous: $5.33M+6.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.68B

Q3 2023-17.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Taylor Morrison provided guidance for Q4 2023 and full year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings are expected to be approximately 2,950 in Q4 2023.
  • Average closing price is expected to be around $615,000 in Q4 2023.
  • Home closings gross margin is expected to be approximately 23.0% in Q4 2023.
  • Ending active community count is expected to be between 320 to 325.
  • Adjusted home closings gross margin excluding inventory impairments is now expected to be around 23.7% for full year 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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