NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison's financial performance improved with increased EPS and net sales orders.

Taylor Morrison reported a strong third quarter in 2024, with net income of $251 million and diluted EPS of $2.37, driven by top-line growth and improved margins. Net sales orders increased by 9%, and home closings revenue reached $2.0 billion.

  • Diluted EPS increased 54% to $2.37.
  • Net sales orders increased 9% to 2,830.
  • Home closings revenue reached $2.0 billion with 3,394 closings.
  • Home closings gross margin improved to 24.8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.12B

Previous: $1.68B+26.6%
EPS

$2.37

Previous: $1.62+46.3%
Home Closings

3.4K

No prior period
Average Closing Price

$598K

No prior period
Home Closings Gross Margin

24.8%

No prior period
Adjusted Home Closings Gross Margin

25.0%

No prior period
SG&A % of Closings Rev

9.8%

No prior period
Net Sales Orders

2.8K

No prior period
Monthly Absorption Pace

2.8

No prior period
Ending Communities

340

No prior period
Cancellation Rate (Gross)

9.3%

No prior period
Cancellation Rate (Backlog)

4.7%

No prior period
Backlog Homes

5.7K

No prior period
Backlog Sales Value

$3.83B

No prior period
Homebuilding Land Investment

$593M

No prior period
Lot Supply

83.6K

No prior period
Controlled Off-BS Lots

58.0%

No prior period
Mortgage Capture Rate

88.0%

No prior period
Gross Debt-to-Cap

25.1%

No prior period
Net Debt-to-Cap

22.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$26.3M

Previous: -$47M+44.2%
Free Cash Flow

$225M

Previous: $124M+81.9%
Net Income

$251M

Previous: $171M+47.1%
Operating Income

$325M

Previous: $224M+45.1%
Gross Profit

$531M

Previous: $392M+35.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$256M

Previous: $614M-58.2%
Total Assets

$9.3B

Previous: $8.44B+10.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.46M

Previous: $5.7M-4.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.12B

Q3 2024+26.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Taylor Morrison provided guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, anticipating continued growth and strong financial performance.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings are expected to be approximately 3,400 in Q4 2024.
  • Average closing price is expected to be approximately $610,000 in Q4 2024.
  • Home closings gross margin is expected to be around 24.5% in Q4 2024.
  • Ending active community count is expected to be between 330 to 340 in Q4 2024.
  • Home closings are now expected to be approximately 12,725 for full year 2024.

Headwinds

  • Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 25% in Q4 2024.
  • Diluted share count is expected to be approximately 106 million in Q4 2024.
  • Average closing price is now expected to be approximately $600,000 for full year 2024.
  • Home closings gross margin is now expected to be approximately 24.3% for full year 2024.
  • Effective tax rate is now expected to be between 24.5% to 25.0% for full year 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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