NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison reported strong first quarter results, exceeding expectations across key metrics due to team execution and market stabilization.

Taylor Morrison reported a net income of $191 million, or $1.74 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2023. The company's performance was driven by a strong home closings gross margin of 23.9% and an efficient SG&A ratio of 9.9%. Positive sales momentum accelerated into March, resulting in a healthy monthly pace of 3.4 gross sales orders per community.

  • Home closings declined 8% to 2,541 homes, generating revenue of $1.6 billion.
  • Home closings gross margin improved 80 basis points to 23.9%.
  • Net sales orders declined 7% to 2,854, representing a monthly absorption pace of 2.9 per community.
  • Total available liquidity was approximately $2.0 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.66B

Previous: $1.7B-2.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.74

Previous: $1.44+20.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$13.8M

Previous: -$5.39M-156.2%
Free Cash Flow

$177M

Previous: $171M+3.5%
Net Income

$191M

Previous: $177M+8.1%
Operating Income

$241M

Previous: $236M+2.0%
Gross Profit

$400M

Previous: $393M+1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$878M

Previous: $569M+54.2%
Total Assets

$8.38B

Previous: $8.52B-1.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.53M

Previous: $6.86M+9.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.66B

Q1 2023-2.4%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Taylor Morrison provided guidance for the second quarter and full year of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Home closings are expected to be between 2,600 to 2,700 for Q2 2023.
  • Average closing price is expected to be between $630,000 to $635,000 for Q2 2023.
  • GAAP home closings gross margin is expected to be between 23.0 to 23.5 percent for Q2 2023.
  • Ending active community count is expected to be between 320 to 325 for Q2 2023.
  • Homebuilding land and development spend is expected to be around $1.6 billion for FY 2023.

Headwinds

  • Home closings are expected to be between 10,000 to 11,000 for FY 2023.
  • Average closing price is expected to be around $625,000 for FY 2023.
  • GAAP home closings gross margin is expected to be approximately 23.0 percent for FY 2023.
  • SG&A as a percentage of home closings revenue is expected to be in the high-nine percent range for FY 2023.
  • Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 25 percent for FY 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro