NYSE$TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Taylor Morrison's financial performance for Q4 2020 showed positive results, including increased net sales orders and revenue.

Taylor Morrison reported a 6% increase in total revenue to $1.6 billion and a 41% increase in net income to $94 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, compared to the prior-year period. The company also saw a 31% year-over-year growth in net sales orders per community, reaching 3.4, and ended the year with a record backlog of over 8,400 homes valued at over $4.2 billion.

  • Net sales orders increased by 46% year-over-year, driven by strength across geographies and consumer segments.
  • Monthly absorptions increased by 31% to 3.4 net sales orders per community.
  • Total revenue increased by 6% to $1.6 billion.
  • GAAP home closings gross margin increased by 410 basis points to 18.3 percent.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.56B

Previous: $1.47B+6.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.87

Previous: $1.06-17.9%
Capital Expenditures

$12.5M

Previous: $11.4M+9.1%
Free Cash Flow

$313M

Previous: $228M+36.9%
Net Income

$94M

Previous: $54.7M+72.0%
Operating Income

$119M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$293M

Previous: $207M+41.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$533M

Previous: $326M+63.2%
Total Assets

$7.74B

Previous: $5.25B+47.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.87M

Previous: $3.83M+27.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Taylor Morrison · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.56B

Q4 2020+6.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Taylor Morrison provided guidance for Q1 and full year 2021, including average active community count, home closings, GAAP home closings gross margin, effective tax rate and diluted share count.

Tailwinds

  • Average active community count is expected to be approximately 360 to 365 for Q1 and full year 2021.
  • Home closings are expected to be between 2,850 to 2,950 for Q1 2021.
  • GAAP home closings gross margin is expected to be in the mid-18 percent range for Q1 2021.
  • Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 23.0 percent for Q1 and full year 2021.
  • Diluted share count is expected to be approximately 131 million for Q1 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+1.6%-6.4%
Q4 2025-1.1%+3.7%-10.9%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.4%-2.9%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.8%+0.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.6%-4.0%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2024+5.4%+7.8%+9.6%
Q2 2024-0.6%+2.8%+4.1%
Q1 2024-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2023+7.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-3.6%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.4%-3.2%-11.5%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.6%+7.9%
Q4 2022+0.6%-0.4%-1.3%
Q3 2022-4.0%-2.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022+4.8%+6.1%-3.0%
Q1 2022-1.5%-1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.2%-0.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+11.5%+14.4%+16.5%
Q2 2021+6.3%+8.3%+13.2%
Q1 2021-4.8%-3.8%-9.7%
Q4 2020-0.5%-3.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-3.4%-3.8%+11.7%
Q2 2020-5.3%-6.5%-1.9%
Q1 2020-0.5%+8.9%+48.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%-1.3%-18.5%
Q3 2019-5.1%-8.6%-12.1%
Q2 2019+2.1%-1.2%+6.4%
Q1 2019+9.8%+6.9%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.4%-10.5%
Q3 2018+2.7%+4.4%+6.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.6%-10.0%
Q4 2017-1.2%-2.3%-2.2%
Q3 2017-3.3%-2.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.7%-3.7%-12.3%
Q1 2017+2.6%+2.2%+5.1%
Q4 2016-8.9%+0.1%+9.2%
Q3 2016+6.2%+9.5%+17.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+8.9%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-8.8%
Q1 2013-5.4%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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