NYSE$TAP

Molson Coors Brewing Co · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molson Coors reported double-digit top-line and bottom-line growth in Q4 2021.

Molson Coors reported a 14.2% increase in net sales and a 102.5% increase in non-GAAP diluted EPS for the fourth quarter of 2021. The company issued 2022 guidance for top and bottom-line growth, continuing to deliver on its revitalization plan and premiumizing its portfolio. The Board of Directors also raised the quarterly dividend by 12% to $0.38 per share.

  • Net sales increased 14.2% reported and 13.7% in constant currency.
  • U.S. GAAP net income attributable to Molson Coors Beverage Company was $80.0 million, $0.37 per share on a diluted basis.
  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.81 per share increased 102.5%.
  • Underlying (Non-GAAP) EBITDA of $457.3 million increased 21.9% in constant currency.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.62B

Previous: $2.29B+14.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.81

Previous: $0.40+102.5%
Total Financial Volume

21.137

No prior period
Net Income

$82.4M

Previous: -$1.37B+106.0%
Operating Income

$165M

Previous: -$1.28B+112.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Molson Coors · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.62B

Q4 2021+14.2%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molson Coors · $2.62B total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Americas Segment Net Sales
    $2.15B+7.6%
  • EMEA&APAC Segment Net Sales
    $474M+56.4%

Forward guidance

Molson Coors expects to achieve the following targets for full year 2022 despite the inherent uncertainties that exist with the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and the global supply chain:

Tailwinds

  • Net sales: mid single-digit increase versus 2021 on a constant currency basis.
  • Underlying income (loss) before income taxes: high single-digit increase compared to 2021 on a constant currency basis.
  • Deleverage: We expect to achieve a net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio below 3.0x by the end of 2022.
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.0 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying depreciation and amortization: approximately $750 million, plus or minus 5%.

Headwinds

  • the inherent uncertainties that exist with the ongoing coronavirus pandemic
  • the global supply chain

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.0%-0.5%-6.9%
Q4 2025+0.8%-1.8%-18.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+7.2%+5.4%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.9%-8.5%
Q4 2024+9.5%+13.4%+11.5%
Q3 2024+5.4%+9.5%+8.2%
Q2 2024+1.9%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024-10.2%-9.0%-16.3%
Q4 2023-1.1%+0.1%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.4%+1.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-3.5%-6.4%-9.0%
Q1 2023+7.5%+7.3%+3.1%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.4%-4.7%
Q3 2022-2.2%+1.5%+9.0%
Q2 2022-9.2%-9.4%-13.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-2.2%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.7%+7.4%+11.1%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.8%-4.1%
Q1 2021+5.9%+8.8%+12.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-9.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.1%+17.5%+42.2%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-18.9%-17.8%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.8%-26.7%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.0%-7.7%
Q2 2019-7.8%-11.1%-9.8%
Q1 2019-6.7%-5.0%-14.3%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.8%-7.5%
Q3 2018+13.4%+8.4%+13.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+3.1%-0.4%
Q1 2018-17.1%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2017+8.0%+7.6%+5.9%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+1.9%+0.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017-3.8%-1.5%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+5.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016-0.2%-1.0%-8.8%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.8%+1.6%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015-0.0%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-2.4%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q2 2008-2.4%

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