NYSE$TAP

Molson Coors Brewing Co · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molson Coors delivered fourth quarter top-line growth and exceeded full year guidance on a constant currency basis. Net income decreased due to partial goodwill impairment charge, while underlying net income increased.

Molson Coors reported a net sales increase of 0.4% and 3.8% in constant currency for Q4 2022. The U.S. GAAP loss before income taxes was $(564.1) million, which included a non-cash $845 million partial goodwill impairment charge in the Americas segment. Underlying income before income taxes increased 51.1% in constant currency.

  • Net sales increased 0.4% reported and 3.8% in constant currency, primarily due to positive net pricing and favorable sales mix, partially offset by lower financial volumes.
  • Net sales per hectoliter on a financial volume basis increased 7.8% reported and 11.4% in constant currency.
  • U.S. GAAP loss before income taxes of $(564.1) million declined $673.6 million on a reported basis from income in the prior year largely driven by a non-cash $845 million partial goodwill impairment charge.
  • Underlying income before income taxes of $328.6 million increased 51.1% in constant currency.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.63B

Previous: $2.62B+0.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.30

Previous: $0.81+60.5%
Total Financial Volume

19.687

Previous: 21.137-6.9%
Net Income

-$591M

Previous: $82.4M-816.6%
Operating Income

-$512M

Previous: $165M-410.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Molson Coors · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.63B

Q4 2022+0.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molson Coors · $2.63B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Americas Segment Net Sales
    $2.13B-0.7%
  • EMEA&APAC Segment Net Sales
    $503M+6.2%

Forward guidance

Molson Coors expects to achieve the following targets for full year 2023 despite the inherent uncertainties that exist with a softer beer industry and the impacts of continued global inflationary cost pressures.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales: low single-digit increase versus 2022 on a constant currency basis.
  • Underlying income (loss) before income taxes: low single-digit increase compared to 2022 on a constant currency basis.
  • Capital Expenditures: $700 million incurred, plus or minus 5%
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.0 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying depreciation and amortization: $690 million, plus or minus 5%.

Headwinds

  • inherent uncertainties that exist with a softer beer industry
  • impacts of continued global inflationary cost pressures
  • Consolidated net interest expense: $240 million, plus or minus 5%.
  • Underlying effective tax rate: in the range of 21% to 23% for 2023.
  • Softer beer industry

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.0%-0.5%-6.9%
Q4 2025+0.8%-1.8%-18.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+7.2%+5.4%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.9%-8.5%
Q4 2024+9.5%+13.4%+11.5%
Q3 2024+5.4%+9.5%+8.2%
Q2 2024+1.9%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024-10.2%-9.0%-16.3%
Q4 2023-1.1%+0.1%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.4%+1.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-3.5%-6.4%-9.0%
Q1 2023+7.5%+7.3%+3.1%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.4%-4.7%
Q3 2022-2.2%+1.5%+9.0%
Q2 2022-9.2%-9.4%-13.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-2.2%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.7%+7.4%+11.1%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.8%-4.1%
Q1 2021+5.9%+8.8%+12.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-9.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.1%+17.5%+42.2%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-18.9%-17.8%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.8%-26.7%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.0%-7.7%
Q2 2019-7.8%-11.1%-9.8%
Q1 2019-6.7%-5.0%-14.3%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.8%-7.5%
Q3 2018+13.4%+8.4%+13.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+3.1%-0.4%
Q1 2018-17.1%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2017+8.0%+7.6%+5.9%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+1.9%+0.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017-3.8%-1.5%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+5.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016-0.2%-1.0%-8.8%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.8%+1.6%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015-0.0%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-2.4%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q2 2008-2.4%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro