NYSE$TAP

Molson Coors Brewing Co · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molson Coors delivered top-line growth across all business units and underlying income before income taxes increased on a constant currency basis.

Molson Coors reported a net sales increase of 5.9% and an underlying income before income taxes increase of 83% on a constant currency basis for the first quarter of 2023. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2023 guidance, expecting continued growth while navigating global inflationary pressures.

  • Net sales increased 5.9% reported and 8.2% in constant currency, primarily due to positive net pricing and favorable sales mix.
  • U.S. GAAP income before income taxes declined 41.3% reported and 45.3% in constant currency.
  • Underlying income before income taxes improved 82.8% in constant currency.
  • Underlying diluted EPS of $0.54 per share increased 86.2%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.77B

Previous: $2.64B+5.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.54

Previous: $0.29+86.2%
Total Financial Volume

17.006

Previous: 17.037-0.2%
Free Cash Flow

$72.5M

Previous: $152M-52.1%
Net Income

$72.5M

Previous: $152M-52.1%
Operating Income

$158M

Previous: $224M-29.5%
Gross Profit

$771M

Previous: $928M-16.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$328M

Previous: $359M-8.5%
Total Assets

$25.9B

Previous: $27.7B-6.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Molson Coors · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.77B

Q1 2023+5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molson Coors · $2.35B total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Americas Segment Net Sales
    $1.94B+5.6%
  • EMEA&APAC Segment Net Sales
    $410M+7.6%

Forward guidance

Molson Coors expects to achieve key financial targets for full year 2023, but inherent uncertainties still exist with beer industry softness and the impacts of continued global inflationary cost pressures.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales: low single-digit increase versus 2022 on a constant currency basis.
  • Underlying income (loss) before income taxes: low single-digit increase compared to 2022 on a constant currency basis.
  • Capital Expenditures: $700 million incurred, plus or minus 5%.
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.0 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying depreciation and amortization: $690 million, plus or minus 5%.

Headwinds

  • Inherent uncertainties exist with beer industry softness
  • Impacts of continued global inflationary cost pressures
  • Consolidated net interest expense: $240 million, plus or minus 5%.
  • Underlying effective tax rate: in the range of 21% to 23% for 2023.
  • No specific negative impacts were specified other than the uncertainties mentioned above.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.0%-0.5%-6.9%
Q4 2025+0.8%-1.8%-18.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+7.2%+5.4%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.9%-8.5%
Q4 2024+9.5%+13.4%+11.5%
Q3 2024+5.4%+9.5%+8.2%
Q2 2024+1.9%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024-10.2%-9.0%-16.3%
Q4 2023-1.1%+0.1%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.4%+1.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-3.5%-6.4%-9.0%
Q1 2023+7.5%+7.3%+3.1%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.4%-4.7%
Q3 2022-2.2%+1.5%+9.0%
Q2 2022-9.2%-9.4%-13.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-2.2%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.7%+7.4%+11.1%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.8%-4.1%
Q1 2021+5.9%+8.8%+12.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-9.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.1%+17.5%+42.2%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-18.9%-17.8%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.8%-26.7%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.0%-7.7%
Q2 2019-7.8%-11.1%-9.8%
Q1 2019-6.7%-5.0%-14.3%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.8%-7.5%
Q3 2018+13.4%+8.4%+13.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+3.1%-0.4%
Q1 2018-17.1%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2017+8.0%+7.6%+5.9%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+1.9%+0.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017-3.8%-1.5%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+5.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016-0.2%-1.0%-8.8%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.8%+1.6%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015-0.0%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-2.4%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q2 2008-2.4%

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