NYSE$TAP

Molson Coors Brewing Co · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molson Coors' third quarter performance in 2024 was marked by a net sales decrease of 7.8% and a 39.1% decrease in income before income taxes.

Molson Coors reported a decrease in net sales by 7.8% in the third quarter of 2024. The U.S. market faced macroeconomic challenges, while EMEA&APAC and Canada showed strong performance. The company reaffirmed its bottom-line growth guidance for the year, while adjusting top-line guidance due to U.S. market conditions.

  • Net sales decreased by 7.8% as reported.
  • U.S. GAAP income before income taxes decreased 39.1% as reported.
  • Underlying income before income taxes decreased 8.7% in constant currency.
  • The company reaffirmed its bottom-line growth and Underlying Free Cash Flow guidance for the year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.6B

Previous: $3.91B-7.7%
EPS

$0.96

Previous: $1.92-50.0%
Total Financial Volume

20.6M

Previous: 23.532+87663507.0%
Brand Volume

21.3M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$171M

Previous: -$159M-7.4%
Free Cash Flow

$200M

Previous: $431M-53.6%
Net Income

$200M

Previous: $431M-53.6%
Operating Income

$451M

Previous: $592M-23.8%
Gross Profit

$1.2B

Previous: $1.35B-10.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.02B

Previous: $802M+27.4%
Total Assets

$26.6B

Previous: $26.6B+0.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Molson Coors · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.6B

Q3 2024-7.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molson Coors · $3.3B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Americas Segment Net Sales
    $2.63B+10.8%
  • EMEA&APAC Segment Net Sales
    $670M+19.2%

Forward guidance

Molson Coors adjusts its full year 2024 top-line guidance, expecting an approximate 1% decline versus 2023 on a constant currency basis. The company continues to expect to achieve the remaining targets for the full year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Underlying income (loss) before income taxes: mid single-digit increase compared to 2023 on a constant currency basis.
  • Underlying diluted earnings per share: mid single-digit increase compared to 2023 but narrowing to the high end of the range.
  • Capital expenditures: $750 million incurred, plus or minus 5%.
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.2 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying depreciation and amortization: $700 million, plus or minus 5%.

Headwinds

  • Net Sales: Approximate 1% decline versus 2023 on a constant currency basis from our previous guidance of low single-digit increase versus 2023 on a constant currency basis.
  • The adjustment is due to the softness in the U.S. beer industry over the peak selling season.
  • Underlying COGS per hectoliter are expected to be higher in full year 2024 as compared to full year 2023.
  • This is due to expected continued, albeit moderating inflation, mix impacts from the wind down of contract brewing volume and volume deleverage related to the U.S. shipment drivers previously mentioned.
  • Underlying net interest income (expense), net: $210 million expense, plus or minus 5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.0%-0.5%-6.9%
Q4 2025+0.8%-1.8%-18.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+7.2%+5.4%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.9%-8.5%
Q4 2024+9.5%+13.4%+11.5%
Q3 2024+5.4%+9.5%+8.2%
Q2 2024+1.9%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024-10.2%-9.0%-16.3%
Q4 2023-1.1%+0.1%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.4%+1.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-3.5%-6.4%-9.0%
Q1 2023+7.5%+7.3%+3.1%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.4%-4.7%
Q3 2022-2.2%+1.5%+9.0%
Q2 2022-9.2%-9.4%-13.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-2.2%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.7%+7.4%+11.1%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.8%-4.1%
Q1 2021+5.9%+8.8%+12.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-9.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.1%+17.5%+42.2%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-18.9%-17.8%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.8%-26.7%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.0%-7.7%
Q2 2019-7.8%-11.1%-9.8%
Q1 2019-6.7%-5.0%-14.3%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.8%-7.5%
Q3 2018+13.4%+8.4%+13.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+3.1%-0.4%
Q1 2018-17.1%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2017+8.0%+7.6%+5.9%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+1.9%+0.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017-3.8%-1.5%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+5.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016-0.2%-1.0%-8.8%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.8%+1.6%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015-0.0%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-2.4%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q2 2008-2.4%

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