NYSE$TAP

Molson Coors Brewing Co · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molson Coors' Q2 2024 results were reported with net sales nearly flat and income before income taxes improved.

Molson Coors reported a slight decrease in net sales but a significant increase in income before income taxes. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for top-line and bottom-line growth, driven by pricing and mix, cost savings, and innovation.

  • Net sales decreased slightly by 0.4% as reported, and 0.1% in constant currency.
  • U.S. GAAP income before income taxes increased 26.9% as reported.
  • Underlying income before income taxes improved 5.2% in constant currency.
  • The company reaffirmed its 2024 full-year guidance for top-line and bottom-line growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.84B

Previous: $3.87B-0.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.92

Previous: $1.78+7.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$178M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$427M

Previous: $342M+24.7%
Net Income

$427M

Previous: $342M+24.7%
Operating Income

$600M

Previous: $489M+22.7%
Gross Profit

$1.33B

Previous: $1.22B+9.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.65B

Previous: $961M+71.4%
Total Assets

$27.4B

Previous: $26.8B+2.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Molson Coors · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.84B

Q2 2024-0.9%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molson Coors · $3.3B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Americas Segment Net Sales
    $2.63B+10.8%
  • EMEA&APAC Segment Net Sales
    $670M+19.2%

Forward guidance

Molson Coors continues to expect to achieve key financial targets for full year 2024, including low single-digit increase in net sales and mid single-digit increase in underlying income before income taxes and diluted earnings per share.

Tailwinds

  • Expects low single-digit increase in net sales versus 2023 on a constant currency basis.
  • Expects mid single-digit increase in underlying income before income taxes compared to 2023 on a constant currency basis.
  • Expects mid single-digit increase in underlying diluted earnings per share compared to 2023.
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.2 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying effective tax rate: in the range of 23% to 25% for 2024.

Headwinds

  • U.S. sales to wholesalers were deliberately ahead of sales to retailers in the first half of the year and this is expected to reverse in the second half of the year.
  • The wind down of a contract brewing agreement is expected to result in a reduction in Americas' financial volume by approximately 1.0 million hectoliters for the balance of the year.
  • Underlying COGS per hectoliter are expected to be higher in full year 2024 as compared to full year 2023 due to continued inflation and mix impacts.
  • MG&A expense is expected to be lower than 2023 in the second half of the year.
  • Capital expenditures: $750 million incurred, plus or minus 5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.0%-0.5%-6.9%
Q4 2025+0.8%-1.8%-18.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+7.2%+5.4%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.9%-8.5%
Q4 2024+9.5%+13.4%+11.5%
Q3 2024+5.4%+9.5%+8.2%
Q2 2024+1.9%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024-10.2%-9.0%-16.3%
Q4 2023-1.1%+0.1%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.4%+1.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-3.5%-6.4%-9.0%
Q1 2023+7.5%+7.3%+3.1%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.4%-4.7%
Q3 2022-2.2%+1.5%+9.0%
Q2 2022-9.2%-9.4%-13.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-2.2%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.7%+7.4%+11.1%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.8%-4.1%
Q1 2021+5.9%+8.8%+12.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-9.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.1%+17.5%+42.2%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-18.9%-17.8%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.8%-26.7%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.0%-7.7%
Q2 2019-7.8%-11.1%-9.8%
Q1 2019-6.7%-5.0%-14.3%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.8%-7.5%
Q3 2018+13.4%+8.4%+13.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+3.1%-0.4%
Q1 2018-17.1%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2017+8.0%+7.6%+5.9%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+1.9%+0.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017-3.8%-1.5%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+5.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016-0.2%-1.0%-8.8%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.8%+1.6%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015-0.0%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-2.4%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q2 2008-2.4%

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